PROBABILITY MODELING SINCE 1998

Stop Following Picks. Start Pricing Bets.

I’ve spent 28 years building models, frameworks, and tools for bettors who want to do this seriously. Start with the free 16-minute training: what separates bettors who win from bettors who don’t.

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“Marjan’s work on betting probabilities is mathematically sound. Rare in this industry.”
Prof. MJ, Pro Bettor and PhD Statistics, Université Laval

Endorsed by a PhD statistician

Students hiredby sportsbooks

MLB, NFL, NBA, NHL covered

50.000+ analyzed MLB games

Since 1998 building probability models

The AI Betting Analyst

28 years of models, in your pocket.

Type any matchup. The AI prices it the same way I’ve priced bets since 1998 — fair probability, your odds, and a value or pass verdict. Conversational on the outside, my sports betting models logic on the inside.

Underdog Chance — AI block (v2, isolated)

Analytics-First

Every verdict traces back to a probability — not a hunch. My models, your screen.

Value-Driven

See where the book has it wrong. Fair odds vs. market odds, side by side.

Bet With Confidence

Stop guessing. Bet with numbers that back you — or pass when they don’t.

Built For Winners

For sharp bettors who want long-term profit, not a weekend rush.

Karl Sumner 5-star review: The MLB board and the list of models — excellent. No one in SportsBetting instruction comes anywhere near you in quality.

Pick services create followers.…

I build independent bettors.

Join My Betting Circle →

Hi, I’m Marjan (betting friends call me MB)

I placed my first bet in 1998. Not because I loved sports — because I loved math.

Since then, I’ve spent decades pricing bets, building models, and searching for the gap between true probability and bookmaker odds.

What started with spreadsheets and manual analysis across MLB, NHL, NFL, NBA, and soccer became a way of thinking: less hype, less guessing, more math.

In 2015, I began teaching that approach to other bettors. Some of my students became pro bettors. Some now work for sportsbooks. Others were simply tired of following picks and wanted to understand how betting actually works.

In 2026, I turned that same philosophy into an AI betting analyst — a tool that can run in seconds the kind of analysis I used to do by hand every morning.

I don’t sell picks. I don’t promise miracles. I teach serious bettors how to think in probabilities, recognize value, and make their own decisions with a clear process behind them.

If that’s the kind of betting you want to learn, you’re in the right place. More about me…

Three ways in

AI Analyst — Try Free

Check any game. Get analysis and estimated probability. Know if your odds are value or pass — in seconds. No credit card required.

Launch the AI →

Betting Models

Ready-to-use Google Sheets systems for MLB, NHL, NFL, NBA, WNBA, soccer and more… Built for bettors who want to understand the math — not just follow a tool.

See the Models →

My Betting Notes — Free

Weekly email: frameworks, mindset shifts, and honest lessons from 28 years of pricing bets. No picks. No hype.

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Pick the tool. Or learn the method.

Whether you want an AI to price bets for you, spreadsheets to build your own system, or the full framework — all three come from the same 28-year process.

AI Analyst

NHL Betting

NFL Betting

NBA Betting

Learn more about my private Sports Betting Models

AI Analyst

AI Analyst

Type a game. Get a verdict.

Conversational access to my entire betting logic framework. Type any matchup, get fair probability, your line vs. the market, and a value or pass verdict — with the math shown.

Try Free

$49/mo Pro · $89/mo Sharp · cancel anytime

~5 analyses/day (Pro) or ~10/day (Sharp)
My Seasonal Boards, built from my spreadsheet models
My Bets tracker + credit system
Explainable math on every verdict

NHL Betting

Brand-New 2024/25 Spreadsheet for Profitable Hockey Betting

NHL Betting Model

This NHL betting model is completely new—built from scratch in 2024/2025 and already proven. It finished the season with a record of 117–114, returning +32.27 units. Designed for serious NHL bettors, this Google Sheets model projects game outcomes using expected goals, advanced team and goalie stats, and probability calculations. It gives you a sharp, numbers-based edge over the market—without hours of trying to build your own model. Perfect for ice hockey bettors who love numbers and spreadsheets.

+32.27 Units

Net Units

+$32,270

Dime bettors profit last season

Projects team scoring based on xG and lineup-adjusted minutes
Factors in goalie quality, TOI%, special teams, and shot metrics
Home-ice advantage and Kelly Criterion integration
Includes settings to use different weights without changing the core functions of the model

NFL Betting

Tactical Football Betting in a Downloadable Spreadsheet

NFL Betting Model

Built for all NFL bettors, this ready-to-use Google Sheets model gives you the strategic edge and another angle to make smarter bets across the entire football season—without wasting hours building your own system. This simple, but effective model compare market lines with your projected lines and highlight potentially good bets—all in one clean, powerful dashboard. Perfect for NFL bettors who want a clean, strategic betting model without trial, error, or starting from scratch.

120–95 (55.81%)

All-Time Record

+$17,100

Dime bettors profit

Model calculates spreads and totals
Designed to help you make smarter bets in 5 minutes/week
Simple to use for everyone
Predict scores for each game early in the week

NBA Betting

Efficient, Game-by-Game Pro Basketball Betting in Google Sheets

NBA Betting Model

This ready-to-use NBA betting model was created for bettors who want a structured, data-driven approach to betting basketball—all without building spreadsheets from scratch or second-guessing their picks. Built in Google Sheets, the model lets you plug in your own numbers (or use market data) to create edges on spreads and totals. Perfect for serious NBA bettors who want a clean, customizable model that works—no coding or spreadsheet skills required.

Compare your projections with bookmakers’ lines to identify potential +EV bets.
Perfect for serious NBA bettors who want a clean, customizable model
Skip complex math — the sheet calculates everything for you
Player-lineup based model
Learn more about my private Sports Betting Models

HELPING BETTORS SINCE 2016

  • Frameworks that compound — not tips that expire
  • Every tool built from 28 years of my own modeling
  • Students making 6 figures, leaving 9-to-5 jobs, getting hired by sportsbooks
  • Hundreds of bettors who stopped chasing picks and started winning

The 3 Shifts That Made Me a Winning Bettor

17-minute training, straight to your inbox. The exact mindset shifts that separate bettors who price bets from bettors who chase picks.

Join Free Today →

Fair probability calculated in seconds
Clear value-or-pass verdict
Covers MLB, NFL, NBA, NHL, NCAAB, NCAAF, soccer — any game
Works on mobile. No spreadsheets required.
First analysis completely free