Yankees vs Brewers Prediction

Dive into our MLB betting model analysis for the Yankees vs Brewers prediction on April 27, 2024. Our model favors the Brewers with a 55.52% probability of winning, projecting odds at -125. Contrastingly, the Yankees have a 44.47% chance at +125. Bet smart by considering these detailed projections.


This Yankees vs Brewers prediction for April 27, 2024, focuses on a compelling matchup between the New York Yankees, led by left-handed pitcher Carlos Rodon, and the Milwaukee Brewers, featuring right-hander Joe Ross. Taking place at American Family Field, this game promises intense competition with both teams looking to leverage their strengths.

Game Overview and Betting Odds

Key Details

  • Date and Time: Saturday, April 27, 2024
  • Location: American Family Field, Milwaukee

Sportsbook Odds

  • New York Yankees: -135 (1.74 Decimal)
  • Milwaukee Brewers: +115 (2.15 Decimal)

Note: Odds are subject to change; always check multiple sportsbooks for the best MLB odds.

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Starting Pitcher Analysis

Carlos Rodon (New York Yankees)

  • ERA: 2.70
  • SIERA: 4.84
  • xFIP: 5.09
  • Strikeouts Per 9 Innings (K/9): 7.42
  • Walks Per 9 Innings (BB/9): 4.39
  • WHIP: 1.35
  • Ground Ball to Fly Ball Ratio (GB/FB): 0.76
  • Expected ERA (xERA): 3.73

Joe Ross (Milwaukee Brewers)

  • ERA: 4.05
  • SIERA: 4.35
  • xFIP: 4.21
  • K/9: 8.10
  • BB/9: 4.05
  • WHIP: 1.55
  • GB/FB: 1.41
  • xERA: 3.35

Comparative Insight

Carlos Rodon has maintained a solid ERA but struggles with control and inducing ground balls, whereas Joe Ross shows higher strikeout rates but also higher susceptibility to on-base players.

Bullpen and Offensive Matchups

Bullpen Strength

  • New York Yankees Rank: 24
  • Milwaukee Brewers Rank: 13

Offensive Capabilities

  • Overall Hitting Rank:
  • Yankees: 8
  • Brewers: 8
  • Performance vs Left-Handed Pitchers:
  • Yankees: Rank 11
  • Brewers: Rank 27
  • Performance vs Right-Handed Pitchers:
  • Yankees: Rank 8
  • Brewers: Rank 4
Yankees vs Brewers Prediction

MLB Betting Model Analysis

Projected Outcomes

  • Yankees Probability: 44.47% | Projected Odds: +125 (2.25 Decimal)
  • Brewers Probability: 55.52% | Projected Odds: -125 (1.80 Decimal)

Recommended MLB Pick

  • Free MLB Pick: Milwaukee Brewers to win
  • Pitcher: Joe Ross
  • Odds: +115
  • Kelly Criterion Value: 1.68
  • Confidence Level: Good Value

Conclusion: Yankees vs Brewers Prediction

In making your Yankees vs Brewers prediction, consider that this game presents a favorable edge towards the Brewers based on our analysis. Joe Ross’s potential to outperform expectations and the Brewers’ stronger bullpen and hitting against right-handers provide a compelling case. Always ensure to shop for the best odds and consider all available betting promotions.

Learn to Bet Smart

For further insights and to craft your own predictions using advanced metrics, check out our MLB Betting Model available on Google Sheets. Explore our sports betting courses to bet analytically and make informed choices. Remember, never follow sports picks blindly; use this analysis as a guide and make well-informed decisions.

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