Yankees vs Brewers Prediction

In our Yankees vs Brewers prediction, the MLB betting model shows a slight edge to the Brewers with a 53.83% win probability over the Yankees’ 46.16%. Explore more on sports betting strategies and models to enhance your picks and ensure the best outcomes for your bets.


In the upcoming MLB game on Sunday, April 28, 2024, the New York Yankees will face off against the Milwaukee Brewers at American Family Field. This Yankees vs Brewers prediction will delve deep into the pitching matchup between Marcus Stroman of the Yankees and Tobias Myers of the Brewers. With current odds favoring the Yankees slightly, this analysis aims to provide insights into both teams’ performances, pitching stats, and overall team dynamics to offer a well-rounded prediction.

Game Details and Initial Odds

  • Date: Sunday, April 28, 2024
  • Location: American Family Field, Milwaukee
  • Teams: New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewers
  • Odds:
  • New York Yankees: -130 (Decimal: 1.77)
  • Milwaukee Brewers: +115 (Decimal: 2.15)
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Starting Pitchers Analysis

Marcus Stroman (New York Yankees)

  • Hand: Right
  • ERA: 2.93
  • SIERA: 3.43
  • xFIP: 3.25
  • K/9: 9.11
  • BB/9: 3.25
  • WHIP: 1.23
  • GB/FB: 2.26
  • xERA: 3.41

Tobias Myers (Milwaukee Brewers)

  • Hand: Right
  • ERA: 1.80
  • SIERA: 3.85
  • xFIP: 3.79
  • K/9: 7.20
  • BB/9: 1.80
  • WHIP: 1.00
  • GB/FB: 0.83
  • xERA: 2.99

Team Performance Comparison

Bullpen Matchup

  • New York Yankees: Ranked 23rd
  • Milwaukee Brewers: Ranked 13th

Offensive Matchup

  • Overall Rank:
  • Yankees: 6
  • Brewers: 9
  • Rank vs Right Handed Pitchers:
  • Yankees: 6
  • Brewers: 4
  • Rank vs Left Handed Pitchers:
  • Yankees: 13
  • Brewers: 28
Yankees vs Brewers Prediction

MLB Betting Model Analysis

According to my specialized MLB betting model, the prediction for Yankees vs Brewers shows:

  • New York Yankees (Marcus Stroman): 46.16% chance to win, Projected odds: +117 (Decimal: 2.17)
  • Milwaukee Brewers (Tobias Myers): 53.83% chance to win, Projected odds: -117 (Decimal: 1.86)

Recommended MLB Pick

  • Pick: Milwaukee Brewers
  • Pitcher: Tobias Myers
  • Odds: +115
  • Kelly Criterion Value: 1.37
  • Confidence: Good value

Conclusion: Yankees vs Brewers Prediction

When making your Yankees vs Brewers prediction, consider this analysis as a guide but remember to shop for the best MLB odds across different sportsbooks. Betting should be approached analytically, leveraging sports betting models and not relying solely on any single source. For those interested in refining their betting strategy, consider exploring sports betting courses and tools like my MLB Betting Model available in Google Sheets. This will not only enhance your understanding but also equip you with the tools to make informed decisions during the baseball betting season.

Final Thoughts

Always ensure to check for the latest odds and updates before placing your bets. Whether you’re a seasoned bettor or new to sports betting, continuous learning and application of analytical methods are key to success in the competitive world of sports betting.

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