Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction

Today’s Yankees vs Blue Jays prediction sees Kevin Gausman leading with a 55.18% win probability over Marcus Stroman at 44.81%. Our MLB betting model suggests value on the Blue Jays with projected decimal odds of 1.81. Check out this solid bet for today’s game!

Introduction: Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction

In today’s anticipated matchup on April 17, 2024, we see the New York Yankees facing off against the Toronto Blue Jays at Rogers Centre. This Yankees vs Blue Jays prediction will provide a detailed analysis of the pitching duel between Marcus Stroman and Kevin Gausman, backed by in-depth statistics and MLB betting insights.

Game Overview

Teams and Odds

  • Away Team: New York Yankees
  • Decimal Odds: 1.89
  • US Odds: -112
  • Home Team: Toronto Blue Jays
  • Decimal Odds: 1.98
  • US Odds: -102
  • Location: Rogers Centre

Note: Remember that odds can change. Always check the best MLB odds on different sportsbooks.

Starting Pitcher Comparison

Marcus Stroman (New York Yankees)

  • Hand: Right-Handed Pitcher
  • ERA: 3.82
  • Advanced Stats:
  • SIERA: 4.21
  • xFIP: 3.80
  • K/9: 7.88
  • BB/9: 3.46
  • WHIP: 1.24
  • GB/FB: 2.51

Kevin Gausman (Toronto Blue Jays)

  • Hand: Right-Handed Pitcher
  • ERA: 3.57
  • Advanced Stats:
  • SIERA: 3.36
  • xFIP: 3.26
  • K/9: 11.44
  • BB/9: 2.64
  • WHIP: 1.21
  • GB/FB: 1.08
Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction


Pitching Matchup Insight

Comparing Marcus Stroman and Kevin Gausman reveals significant differences in their pitching styles and effectiveness. Gausman’s higher strikeout rate and lower walk rate paired with a superior SIERA and xFIP suggest a stronger performance potential against the Yankees’ hitters.

Bullpen Strength

  • New York Yankees Bullpen Rank: 25th
  • Toronto Blue Jays Bullpen Rank: 22nd

While neither team boasts a top-tier bullpen, the Blue Jays have a slight edge, which could be crucial in the later innings of the game.

Offensive Comparison

New York Yankees

  • Overall Rank: 4
  • Rank vs Left-Handed Pitchers: 2
  • Rank vs Right-Handed Pitchers: 6

Toronto Blue Jays

  • Overall Rank: 14
  • Rank vs Left-Handed Pitchers: 7
  • Rank vs Right-Handed Pitchers: 15

The Yankees’ offense is notably stronger, especially against right-handed pitchers, which could challenge Gausman despite his impressive stats.

MLB Betting Model Prediction

Probabilities and Projected Odds

  • New York Yankees (Marcus Stroman)
  • Probability: 44.81%
  • Projected US Odds: +123
  • Projected Decimal Odds: 2.23
  • Toronto Blue Jays (Kevin Gausman)
  • Probability: 55.18%
  • Projected US Odds: -123
  • Projected Decimal Odds: 1.81

Recommended MLB Pick

  • Pick: Toronto Blue Jays
  • Pitcher: Kevin Gausman
  • Odds: -102
  • Kelly Criterion Value: 0.94
  • Confidence: Solid value


As you use this Yankees vs Blue Jays prediction to guide your betting decisions, remember to shop for the best MLB Baseball Betting Odds and take advantage of bonuses and promotions. For those looking to delve deeper into analytical sports betting, consider exploring sports betting courses or tools that enhance your understanding and strategy.

This detailed game and betting analysis provides a comprehensive look at the factors influencing the Yankees vs Blue Jays game, equipping bettors with the knowledge needed to place well-informed bets.

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