Yankees vs Astros Prediction

Our Yankees vs Astros prediction leans on the latest MLB betting model, showing the Astros at a 52.14% win probability over the Yankees’ 47.85%. This close matchup suggests bettors compare these insights with live odds for potential value bets before Sunday’s game at Minute Maid Park.


As the New York Yankees and Houston Astros prepare to face off this Sunday, March 31, 2024, at Minute Maid Park, all eyes are on the starting pitchers: Clarke Schmidt for the Yankees and J.P. France for the Astros. This Yankees vs Astros prediction piece aims to delve into the intricacies of the matchup, utilizing the latest data and analysis to provide a comprehensive overview for bettors and fans alike. Remember, sports betting odds can vary, so always ensure to check multiple sportsbooks for the best MLB odds before placing your bets.

Game Overview

Starting Pitchers Insight

Clarke Schmidt (New York Yankees)

  • Hand: Right
  • ERA: 4.66
  • SIERA: 4.31
  • xFIP: 4.38
  • K/9: 8.41
  • BB/9: 2.61
  • WHIP: 1.36
  • GB/FB: 1.16

J.P. France (Houston Astros)

  • Hand: Right
  • ERA: 3.92
  • SIERA: 4.95
  • xFIP: 4.79
  • K/9: 6.56
  • BB/9: 2.98
  • WHIP: 1.35
  • GB/FB: 1.15

Bullpen Matchup Analysis

The Yankees’ bullpen, ranked 3rd, contrasts sharply with the Astros’ at 16th. This discrepancy could be pivotal in the later innings, especially if the game remains close.


Offensive Matchup

The Yankees and Astros are among the elite offensive teams, ranked 8th and 4th overall, respectively. Notably, both teams excel against right-handed pitchers, with the Astros showing a slight edge.

Yankees vs Astros Prediction

Yankees vs Astros Prediction: Betting Analysis

MLB Betting Model Insights

  • New York Yankees (Clarke Schmidt): 47.85% probability, with projected odds at +109 (2.09 in decimal).
  • Houston Astros (J.P. France): 52.14% probability, with projected odds at -109 (1.92 in decimal).

Recommended MLB Pick

Given the model’s probabilities, bettors should compare these figures with live sportsbook odds once they become available. This approach ensures the identification of any value bets, particularly focusing on discrepancies between model projections and bookmakers’ lines.


This Yankees vs Astros prediction serves as a foundational analysis for bettors, emphasizing the importance of informed decision-making. While our MLB betting model provides a statistical backbone, always consider the dynamic nature of baseball odds and the value of shopping around for the best lines. For those looking to deepen their betting expertise, consider exploring sports betting courses that leverage analytical models. Remember, use this analysis as a guide but always trust your research and intuition when placing bets.

As we wrap up this prediction, it’s clear that Sunday’s game between the Yankees and Astros is more than just a simple contest; it’s a clash of strategy, skill, and statistical insight. Whether you’re a seasoned bettor or a casual fan, the nuances of this matchup offer a fascinating glimpse into the world of MLB predictions and betting.

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