White Sox vs Yankees Prediction

Our MLB betting model gives the Yankees a 79.92% chance to win against the White Sox, with Nestor Cortes starting. The White Sox have a mere 20.06% probability with Mike Clevinger on the mound. Bet confidently on the Yankees with solid odds of -244, backed by superior pitching and offense.


The highly anticipated matchup between the Chicago White Sox and the New York Yankees is set to take place on Friday, May 17, 2024, at Yankee Stadium. This White Sox vs Yankees prediction will delve into the details of the game, providing insights into the starting pitchers, bullpen matchups, offensive capabilities, and betting odds to help you make an informed decision.

Game Info & Sportsbook Odds

Teams and Odds

  • Away Team: Chicago White Sox
  • Decimal Odds: 3.20
  • US Odds: +220
  • Home Team: New York Yankees
  • Decimal Odds: 1.41
  • US Odds: -244
  • Ballpark: Yankee Stadium

Note: Odds can change. Always check the best MLB odds on different sportsbooks.

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Starting Pitchers Analysis

Chicago White Sox: Mike Clevinger

  • Handedness: Right Handed
  • ERA: 5.4

New York Yankees: Nestor Cortes

  • Handedness: Left Handed
  • ERA: 4.02

Advanced Stats Comparison

Mike Clevinger

  • SIERA: 5.44
  • xFIP: 5.52
  • K/9: 6.75
  • BB/9: 5.4
  • WHIP: 2.1
  • GB/FB: 0.8
  • xERA: 6.01

Nestor Cortes

  • SIERA: 3.74
  • xFIP: 3.95
  • K/9: 8.55
  • BB/9: 1.84
  • WHIP: 1.08
  • GB/FB: 0.58
  • xERA: 2.8

Nestor Cortes has a significant edge over Mike Clevinger in nearly every advanced statistical category. Cortes’ lower SIERA and xFIP indicate he is better at limiting expected runs, while his higher K/9 and lower BB/9 show superior control and strikeout ability. This disparity suggests that Cortes is likely to perform better in this matchup.

Bullpen Matchup

  • Chicago White Sox Bullpen Rank: 28th
  • New York Yankees Bullpen Rank: 20th

The Yankees have a better-ranked bullpen, which could be crucial in late-game scenarios, giving them an additional edge over the White Sox.

Offensive Matchup

Overall Offensive Rank

  • Chicago White Sox: 30th
  • New York Yankees: 4th

Rank vs. Left-Handed Pitchers

  • Chicago White Sox: 30th
  • New York Yankees: 17th

Rank vs. Right-Handed Pitchers

  • Chicago White Sox: 29th
  • New York Yankees: 2nd

The Yankees’ offense is one of the best in the league, significantly outpacing the struggling White Sox, who rank last overall and struggle against both left and right-handed pitching.

White Sox vs Yankees Prediction

MLB Betting Model Probability

Baseball Betting Model Probability

  • Chicago White Sox (Mike Clevinger): 20.06%
  • MLB Model Projected US Odds: +398
  • MLB Model Projected Decimal Odds: 4.98
  • New York Yankees (Nestor Cortes): 79.92%
  • MLB Model Projected US Odds: -398
  • MLB Model Projected Decimal Odds: 1.25

Recommended MLB Pick

  • Side: New York Yankees
  • Pitcher: Nestor Cortes
  • Odds: -244
  • Adjusted Kelly Criterion Calculated Value: 3.09
  • Confidence: Good Value

Our MLB betting model strongly favors the New York Yankees, assigning them a near 80% probability of winning this game. Given the significant discrepancy in pitching, bullpen strength, and offensive capabilities, the Yankees offer a solid betting value at -244 odds.

Conclusion for White Sox vs Yankees Prediction

Use this White Sox vs Yankees prediction to enhance your betting strategy. Always shop for the best MLB baseball betting odds and take advantage of bonuses and promotions during the baseball betting season. If you want to learn how to bet like a pro, analytically with sports betting models, check out my sports betting courses. By leveraging advanced analytics and informed predictions, you can make more educated bets and increase your chances of success.

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