White Sox vs Rays Prediction

The White Sox vs Rays Prediction favors Tampa Bay’s Zach Eflin, as the MLB betting model gives the Rays a 75.66% win probability. With Eflin’s strong metrics and Tampa’s balanced lineup, backing the Rays at -244 offers good value. Shop around for the best odds and enhance your betting edge!


The MLB matchup between the Chicago White Sox and Tampa Bay Rays at Tropicana Field on Tuesday, May 7, 2024, offers intriguing betting opportunities. This analysis will guide you through the key details with the White Sox vs Rays Prediction, factoring in the starting pitching duel of Mike Soroka and Zach Eflin, alongside other critical betting considerations.

Game Info & Sportsbook Odds

  • Away Team: Chicago White Sox
  • Decimal Odds: 3.00
  • US Odds: +200
  • Home Team: Tampa Bay Rays
  • Decimal Odds: 1.41
  • US Odds: -244
  • Ballpark: Tropicana Field

Odds are subject to change, so always check multiple sportsbooks for the best MLB odds.

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Starting Pitchers Breakdown

Chicago White Sox

  • Mike Soroka (RHP)
  • ERA: 6.48
  • SIERA: 5.94
  • xFIP: 5.67
  • K/9: 4.32
  • BB/9: 5.13
  • WHIP: 1.62
  • GB/FB: 1.38
  • xERA: 6.75

Soroka’s numbers suggest a struggling season, with high ERA and BB/9 rates combined with a low K/9 rate. His 5.94 SIERA and 1.62 WHIP show a high potential for baserunners, which could cause trouble against the Rays.

Tampa Bay Rays

  • Zach Eflin (RHP)
  • ERA: 4.17
  • SIERA: 3.49
  • xFIP: 3.40
  • K/9: 7.9
  • BB/9: 0.88
  • WHIP: 1.17
  • GB/FB: 1.15
  • xERA: 3.5

Eflin displays a much more balanced performance. His 3.49 SIERA and 3.40 xFIP indicate strong underlying metrics, bolstered by an exceptional BB/9 rate and low WHIP.

Bullpen Matchup

  • Chicago White Sox: 25th in MLB
  • Tampa Bay Rays: 27th in MLB

While both teams are toward the bottom of the league in bullpen rankings, the Rays still hold the edge with their more consistent pitching staff.

Offensive Matchup

Chicago White Sox

  • Overall Rank: 30th
  • Rank vs LHP: 30th
  • Rank vs RHP: 27th

Tampa Bay Rays

  • Overall Rank: 18th
  • Rank vs LHP: 17th
  • Rank vs RHP: 15th

The Rays’ offense, while not elite, remains more potent than the White Sox lineup, particularly when facing right-handed pitching.

White Sox vs Rays Prediction

MLB Betting Model Probability

  • Chicago White Sox (Mike Soroka)
  • Probability: 24.33%
  • MLB Model Projected US Odds: +311
  • MLB Model Projected Decimal Odds: 4.11
  • Tampa Bay Rays (Zach Eflin)
  • Probability: 75.66%
  • MLB Model Projected US Odds: -311
  • MLB Model Projected Decimal Odds: 1.32

Recommended MLB Pick

The model leans heavily toward the Tampa Bay Rays, favoring Zach Eflin and the offense. The moneyline pick for the Rays at -244 provides good value with a calculated Kelly Criterion value of 1.63, meaning this wager carries a confident edge.

Conclusion: White Sox vs Rays Prediction

The White Sox vs Rays Prediction suggests backing Tampa Bay with confidence, given their strong probability and advantageous pitching matchup. Always shop for the best MLB baseball betting odds and take advantage of bonuses during the betting season. To refine your sports betting skills, explore our sports betting courses and gain analytical insights to make your own projections.

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