White Sox vs Pirates Prediction

Our MLB betting model gives the Pittsburgh Pirates a 59.28% chance to win against the Chicago White Sox, with projected odds of -146. Conversely, the White Sox are seen as underdogs with a 40.72% chance and odds of +146. Analyze deeply and bet wisely on this White Sox vs Pirates prediction.


In this detailed analysis of the White Sox vs Pirates prediction for the upcoming MLB game on Friday, April 19, 2024, we delve deep into the dynamics at play. This clash at PNC Park features a pitching duel between the Chicago White Sox’s Garrett Crochet and the Pittsburgh Pirates’ Spencer Turnbull. With odds signaling a tight contest, our focus will be on dissecting pitcher stats, team offenses, and bullpen performances to give you a well-rounded perspective.

Game Overview

Date and Time: April 19, 2024
Location: PNC Park, Pittsburgh
Odds: Chicago White Sox (2.58, +158) vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (1.53, -189)

Pitching Matchup Analysis

Garrett Crochet (Chicago White Sox)

  • Hand: Left
  • ERA: 3.57
  • Advanced Metrics: SIERA (2.26), xFIP (2.38), K/9 (12.31), BB/9 (1.59), WHIP (0.84), GB/FB (1.2)

Spencer Turnbull (Pittsburgh Pirates)

  • Hand: Right
  • ERA: 5.48
  • Advanced Metrics: SIERA (4.69), xFIP (4.62), K/9 (7.83), BB/9 (3.91), WHIP (1.43), GB/FB (1.51)

Bullpen Performance

Chicago White Sox: Ranked 27th
Pittsburgh Pirates: Ranked 9th

Offensive Matchup

Chicago White Sox

  • Overall Rank: 30
  • Vs. Left-Handed Pitchers: Rank 29
  • Vs. Right-Handed Pitchers: Rank 30

Pittsburgh Pirates

  • Overall Rank: 18
  • Vs. Left-Handed Pitchers: Rank 19
  • Vs. Right-Handed Pitchers: Rank 16
White Sox vs Pirates Prediction

MLB Betting Model Analysis

Our proprietary MLB betting model assesses the White Sox vs Pirates prediction with the following probabilities:

  • Chicago White Sox (Garrett Crochet): 40.72% chance, Projected US Odds: +146, Decimal Odds: 2.46
  • Pittsburgh Pirates (Spencer Turnbull): 59.28% chance, Projected US Odds: -146, Decimal Odds: 1.69

Recommended MLB Pick

Pick: Chicago White Sox to win
Pitcher: Garrett Crochet
Odds: +158
Betting Strategy: Tiny value play, based on the Adjusted Kelly Criterion value of 0.32.

Conclusion: White Sox vs Pirates Prediction

In this White Sox vs Pirates prediction, we recommend a cautious approach, opting for a value play on the Chicago White Sox. The advanced pitching metrics favor Garrett Crochet, despite the White Sox’s struggling offense and bullpen. It’s crucial to shop for the best MLB odds and consider all factors, including sportsbook bonuses and promotions. For those interested in refining their betting strategy, consider exploring our sports betting courses and model projections.


Always verify the latest odds and consider using multiple sources for your bets. For comprehensive betting strategies and updates, visit our “MLB Picks” page or access our MLB Betting Model on Google Sheets to make informed decisions.

By grounding your betting in analytics, you can approach the White Sox vs Pirates game with the confidence of a seasoned bettor.

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