Key Factors in the Utah State vs Air Force Prediction
Our college football prediction model considers a few key factors:
- Expected points calculation based on advanced offensive and defensive metrics
- Accounting for home field advantage worth 2-3 points
- Combining factors into a final score prediction
Why Air Force Has the Edge
Air Force’s offense has been efficient, scoring 4.3 points above average. Their defense is elite, allowing 4.3 fewer points than an average NCAAF defense.
The Falcons also have home field advantage in this matchup, worth about 2 points in our model.
While Utah State has a good offense, their defense has struggled. Air Force’s defensive edge gives them a significant advantage.
Final Utah State vs Air Force Prediction
Our model predicts Air Force will beat Utah State 20-27 after accounting for home field.
Air Force’s elite defense and home field edge gives them a predicted 7 point win over the Aggies.
The Bottom Line
Our A.I. model predicts an Air Force win, but no value with -9.5 vs Utah State.