College football is back, and we have an intriguing matchup in Week 2 between the UNLV Rebels and the Michigan Wolverines. Today, I’ll be sharing my AI-generated prediction and betting analysis for this game to help give you insights into how to approach wagering on this matchup.
First, let’s look at some key stats and information on each squad coming into this contest.
The Rebels come into this one with a decent OSRS of 6.78 and a DSRS of 2.5, leading to an SRS of 9.28. They were able to put up 26.3 points per game last season, while allowing 28.5 points on defense. UNLV has a balanced offensive attack, averaging 5.25 yards per pass and 6.7 yards per rush. However, their defense gave up 7.42 yards per pass and 4.48 yards per rush to opponents in 2022. Their FPI sits at a low -11.4, signifying they have work to do. The Rebels ranked 98th in offensive efficiency and 41.9 in defensive efficiency.
The Wolverines are consistently one of the top programs in college football. Last season, their offense put up 40.4 points per game, while their stout defense only conceded 16.1 points per contest. Michigan has strong passing and rushing numbers on both sides of the ball. They averaged 7.63 yards per pass and 4.52 yards per rush on offense, while only allowing 6.68 yards per pass and 3.78 yards per rush from their opponents. Their FPI is an impressive 20.5. The Wolverines ranked 12th in offensive efficiency and had the 91.6th ranked defense.
Game Prediction and Analysis
Based on these team overviews, my AI prediction model forecasts that Michigan’s stellar defense will be able to slow down UNLV’s balanced offensive attack. The Rebels may struggle to string together consistent drives and explosiveness will be hard to come by against a Michigan defense that doesn’t give up big plays.
On the flip side, Michigan’s efficient offense should be able to move the ball both on the ground and through the air against UNLV. The Wolverines have too much talent and firepower for the Rebels to keep pace with.
AI Prediction: Michigan 48, UNLV 13
Given the mismatch on paper, I would expect Michigan to be heavy favorites, potentially laying as much as 35-40 points. While I think the Wolverines will ultimately pull away late and win comfortably, that large of a spread is a lot to cover against an FBS opponent.
Recommended AI College Football Pick: No bet
As always, be sure to shop for the best lines to maximize the value. And consider joining my free betting course if you want to take your sports betting to the next level with proven models. Let me know if you need any other game predictions or have questions on how to bet on sports profitably. Enjoy the games and lets have a winning season!