Tigers vs Rays Prediction

In today’s Tigers vs Rays prediction, our MLB betting model slightly favors the Detroit Tigers with a 50.50% chance of winning, projecting odds at -102. The Tampa Bay Rays follow closely at 49.50% with odds of 102. A tight game expected, check the latest odds before betting.


In this detailed analysis of the Tigers vs Rays prediction for April 22, 2024, we’re diving into a promising MLB matchup featuring the Detroit Tigers led by left-handed pitcher Tarik Skubal against the Tampa Bay Rays with right-handed Zack Littell at the helm. The game, set to unfold at Tropicana Field, showcases evenly matched odds, with both teams listed at 1.93 (-108 in US odds), highlighting the anticipated tight contest.

Game Overview: Key Odds and Venue Insights

Venue: Tropicana Field
Date: Monday, April 22, 2024
Odds: Detroit Tigers 1.93 (-108), Tampa Bay Rays 1.93 (-108)

Pitching Matchup: Skubal vs Littell

  • Tarik Skubal (Detroit Tigers)
  • ERA: 2.68
  • SIERA: 2.81
  • xFIP: 2.66
  • K/9: 11.08
  • BB/9: 1.64
  • WHIP: 0.88
  • GB/FB: 1.59
  • Zack Littell (Tampa Bay Rays)
  • ERA: 3.12
  • SIERA: 3.96
  • xFIP: 3.96
  • K/9: 7.6
  • BB/9: 0.97
  • WHIP: 1.12
  • GB/FB: 1.04


Tarik Skubal shows superior pitching stats compared to Zack Littell, especially in strikeout capability and efficiency, which could be pivotal in high-pressure innings.

Bullpen and Offensive Matchup

Bullpen Rankings:

  • Detroit Tigers: Ranked 18th
  • Tampa Bay Rays: Ranked 30th

Offensive Matchup:

  • Detroit Tigers Offensive Rankings:
  • Overall: 25th
  • Vs Left-Handed Pitchers: 23rd
  • Vs Right-Handed Pitchers: 24th
  • Tampa Bay Rays Offensive Rankings:
  • Overall: 14th
  • Vs Left-Handed Pitchers: 16th
  • Vs Right-Handed Pitchers: 12th


Despite the Tigers’ weaker offensive stats, their superior bullpen might offset the Rays’ better hitting lineup, especially against right-handers like Littell.

Betting Model Insights and Probability

Baseball Betting Model Probability:

  • Detroit Tigers (Tarik Skubal): 50.50% | Projected Odds: -102 (1.98)
  • Tampa Bay Rays (Zack Littell): 49.50% | Projected Odds: 102 (2.02)
Tigers vs Rays Prediction

Recommended MLB Pick:

  • Pick: Detroit Tigers
  • Pitcher: Tarik Skubal
  • Odds: -108
  • Confidence: High (based on statistical insights, not betting value)

Conclusion: Tigers vs Rays Prediction

In conclusion, our Tigers vs Rays prediction points to a slight edge for the Detroit Tigers with Tarik Skubal leading. However, the nearly even odds reflect a closely contested game. Always ensure to check for the latest odds and shop around for the best lines before placing any bets. For those looking to delve deeper into MLB betting strategies, consider exploring sports betting courses and tools to make informed decisions. Remember, betting should be approached with analysis and caution, never relying solely on one source for sports picks.

Further Resources:

  • MLB Picks Page: For updated bets and insights.
  • Sports Betting Courses: Learn analytical betting strategies.

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