Tigers vs Rays Prediction April 24

The Tigers vs Rays MLB game on April 24, 2024, shows the Detroit Tigers with a slight advantage, with a 51.65% probability of winning according to our betting model. Jack Flaherty’s solid pitching stats tilt the odds in the Tigers’ favor.


In this detailed analysis of the upcoming MLB game between the Detroit Tigers and the Tampa Bay Rays, set for Wednesday, April 24, 2024, at Tropicana Field, we’ll delve into a range of statistics and betting odds to guide our Tigers vs Rays prediction. With both teams poised for action, let’s break down the pitching duel between Jack Flaherty of the Tigers and Tyler Alexander of the Rays, alongside other crucial factors influencing this game.

Game Details and Initial Betting Odds

  • Date: Wednesday, April 24, 2024
  • Location: Tropicana Field, Home of the Tampa Bay Rays
  • Odds: Detroit Tigers at -110, Tampa Bay Rays at -118

It’s important to remember that these odds can fluctuate, so it’s wise to continually check various sportsbooks for the best MLB odds.

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Pitching Matchup Analysis

Jack Flaherty (Detroit Tigers)

  • Hand: Right
  • ERA: 4.44
  • Advanced Stats:
  • SIERA: 2.74
  • xFIP: 2.92
  • K/9: 11.1
  • BB/9: 1.48
  • WHIP: 1.11
  • GB/FB Ratio: 1.08
  • xERA: 3.82

Jack Flaherty brings a solid strikeout rate and excellent control to this game, offering the Tigers a strong chance on the mound.

Tyler Alexander (Tampa Bay Rays)

  • Hand: Left
  • ERA: 3.72
  • Advanced Stats:
  • SIERA: 4.45
  • xFIP: 4.87
  • K/9: 7.45
  • BB/9: 2.79
  • WHIP: 1.34
  • GB/FB Ratio: 0.67

Tyler Alexander, with his left-handed pitching, presents a lower strikeout rate and higher WHIP, which could be pivotal in this matchup.

Tigers vs Rays Prediction

Bullpen and Offensive Matchup

Bullpen Strength

  • Detroit Tigers Rank: 19th
  • Tampa Bay Rays Rank: 28th

The Tigers have a notably stronger bullpen compared to the Rays, which could be significant in the later innings.

Offensive Comparison

  • Overall Rank: Tigers 23rd, Rays 18th
  • Against Left-Handed Pitchers: Tigers 20th, Rays 19th
  • Against Right-Handed Pitchers: Tigers 21st, Rays 13th

The Rays display a better offense, especially against right-handed pitchers, which might challenge Flaherty.

MLB Betting Model Predictions

  • Detroit Tigers (Jack Flaherty): 51.65% probability, Projected Odds: -107 (Decimal: 1.94)
  • Tampa Bay Rays (Tyler Alexander): 48.34% probability, Projected Odds: 107 (Decimal: 2.07)

According to our MLB betting model, the Tigers hold a slight edge, largely due to Flaherty’s pitching strengths and the bullpen’s performance.

Recommended MLB Pick

Pick: Detroit Tigers (Moneyline)
Pitcher: Jack Flaherty
Odds: -110
Confidence: No value, just a bold opinion

This recommendation comes without significant statistical backing in terms of value but leans on the overall matchup and pitching advantage.

Conclusion: Tigers vs Rays Prediction

For your Tigers vs Rays prediction, it’s crucial to consider the slight edge that the Tigers’ pitching and bullpen provide. However, always shop around for the best odds and keep an eye on any line movements. Remember, successful sports betting involves informed decisions and not just following picks blindly. To further enhance your betting skills, consider exploring sports betting models and courses to create your own projections.

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