Suns vs Hawks prediction is made through full betting analysis and backed by our NBA sports betting model and numbers.

Introduction

On February 9, 2023, the Phoenix Suns will take on the Atlanta Hawks in an NBA game. The game will be played in State Farm Arena, Atlanta, Thu, Feb 9 7:30 PM ET.

The Suns just bring Kevin Durant to the team. He is one of the biggest stars in the NBA and will definitely be a key player for the team from Phoenix. In a blockbuster trade, the Nets have acquired an exciting package of young talent and future first-round picks in exchange for Kevin Durant and T.J Warren. The haul includes Mikal Bridges, Cam Johnson, Jae Crowder plus four draft selections as well as the potential to swap another pick down the road!

Overview of the game, spreads, moneyline and the odds

The oddsmakers opened the -4.5 spread on Atlanta. Some of them had Atlanta at -3.5, but their line quickly went to -4.5. Moneyline was opened at -185 and the totals was set at around 229.5.

The Phoenix Suns

Phoenix Suns are sitting at the 5th position in the Western Conference. By acquiring Kevin Durant they want to push further into the playoffs this season. When they will play in full squad they will be a trouble for most teams in the league and many experts already talk about Suns as the number 1 team in the league.

Team statistics

The suns score 112.7 points per game and allow 111.3 points per game. They 30-26 to the season, but only 11-17 on the road, which makes them a weak road team.

On the road, they even have a negative spread difference (scoring 111.9 points per game and allowing 113.5)

They are currently in the middle of the road trip, where they won the first three games against Boston, Detroit, and Brooklyn. After the Atlanta game, they will go to Indiana and then they will go back to Phoenix.

In the last game, last week, against Atlanta they lost by 32 points.

Recent Injury Updates for Phoenix Suns Players

The Phoenix Suns have struck a blockbuster deal, acquiring possible Hall-of-Famers Kevin Durant and T.J Warren by trading away Mikal Bridges, Cam Johnson, Jae Crowder and plenty of draft capital to the Brooklyn Nets.

Warren and Durant will not be available for this game. Phoenix will also play without Booker, Shamet, and Payne.

NBA Betting

The Atlanta Hawks

Atlanta Hawks are holding the 8th position in the Eastern Conference and the next weeks will be very important for them. They are coming back home from a 5 game road trip, where they won 2 out of 5, but they also had a pretty tough schedule facing some of the best teams in the league.

Atlanta is 27-28 this season, but at home they hold a winning record of 13-11. They score 116.1 points per and allow 116.5.

Recent Injury Updates for Atlanta Hawks Players

It looks like Atlanta Hawks will play with a full lineup.

Betting Analysis and Prediction for the Game

Phoenix Suns will play this game without couple of key players. Some players were traded to Brooklyn Nets, while Kevin Durant and Devin Booker, who are the most important players now will be out.

Phoenix Suns are just 11-17 on the road and it seems that they are a different team when they play at home. On the other side Atlanta is a winning home team without any injuries and after tough road schedule they need to step up in this game.

In the last game Atlanta beat Phoenix on the road by 32 points. Now in better condition and in a better match up, they could win and cover the spread again.

NBA Betting Model

With the Hawks playing at home and my predictive NBA betting model taking current lineups into account, it looks like Atlanta’s spread of-4.5 is a little bit low. My NBA betting model has Atlanta -6.

NBA betting model projections – 2/9/2023

Free Recommended Bet: Atlanta Hawks -4.5

Atlanta is a good home team and they will face a team with a losing road record. Not only that Phoenix Suns will play without key players. Taking into account my betting model and all the reasons, Atlanta Hawks to cover the spread tonight is the most logical play.

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