Welcome to my Saints vs Rams Prediction: NFL Picks & Score Predictions Week 16!

New Orleans Saints vs. Los Angeles Rams Week 16 Preview – 2023 NFL Season


The Week 16 matchup of the 2023 NFL regular season features the New Orleans Saints facing off against the Los Angeles Rams on “Thursday Night Football.” Both teams, with identical 7-7 records, are vying for a spot in the NFC playoffs, making this a crucial game.

Game Details

  • Date & Time: Thursday, December 21, 2023, at 8:15 PM ET
  • Venue: SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, California
  • Broadcast: Amazon Prime Video

Team Breakdowns

Los Angeles Rams

  • The Rams have been performing well in the latter part of the season, especially on offense. They are among the top teams in offensive EPA since their bye week.
  • Quarterback Matthew Stafford has been pivotal in their offensive success, potentially eyeing a Pro Bowl selection with impressive statistics across various quarterback metrics.
  • The Rams’ running game, led by Kyren Williams, has also contributed significantly to their offensive surge.
  • Defensively, the Rams have been performing at a league-average level but have struggled with pressure and takeaways.

New Orleans Saints

  • The Saints, led by quarterback Derek Carr, are also in contention for the playoffs, keeping an eye on the NFC South race.
  • Carr has been effective, utilizing key weapons like Alvin Kamara and Chris Olave, the latter recently returning from an ankle injury.
  • The Saints’ defense, known for its effectiveness, could be crucial in this matchup, especially in limiting the Rams’ potent offense.

Key Factors to Watch

  • The Rams’ offense led by Stafford against the Saints’ defense.
  • The performance of Derek Carr and his key offensive weapons.
  • The coaching strategies of Sean McVay and Dennis Allen in this critical game.

Offensive Breakdown

  • New Orleans Saints:
    • Points Scored: 22.07 per game
    • Offensive Yards per Play: 5.1
    • Passing Touchdowns: 19
    • Rushing Touchdowns: 11
    • Turnovers: 17
  • Los Angeles Rams:
    • Points Scored: 23.36 per game
    • Offensive Yards per Play: 5.5
    • Passing Touchdowns: 21
    • Rushing Touchdowns: 13
    • Turnovers: 14

Defensive Showdown

  • New Orleans Saints:
    • Points Allowed: 19.07 per game
    • Opponents Yards per Play: 5.0
    • Passing Touchdowns Allowed: 16
    • Rushing Touchdowns Allowed: 9
    • Takeaways: 22
  • Los Angeles Rams:
    • Points Allowed: 22.14 per game
    • Opponents Yards per Play: 5.3
    • Passing Touchdowns Allowed: 19
    • Rushing Touchdowns Allowed: 11
    • Takeaways: 12

NFL Betting Model Score Prediction

Saints vs Rams prediction
  • New Orleans Saints: 21.02
  • Los Angeles Rams: 22.67

Week 16 Spread Prediction

  • Saints +1.65
  • Rams -1.65

Week 16 Totals Prediction

  • Over/Under: 43.69

Betting Insights

This matchup is tight, with the Rams slightly edging out the Saints in our score prediction. However, the Saints are showing great value at +4.5, making them an intriguing pick for this week.

Best NFL Bets This Week

  • Small value on Saints +4.5. They might just surprise us with a close game or an upset.

NFL Survivor Pick Week 16

  • The Saints could be a risky yet rewarding choice. They’ve shown resilience and might pull off an unexpected win.

Final Thoughts

Always remember to compare lines across different sportsbooks. Look out for bonuses, sports betting contests, and promotions that can give you an edge.

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