Royals vs Twins Prediction

For the Royals vs Twins prediction on May 27, 2024, our MLB betting model favors the Twins with a 64.61% probability. Joe Ryan’s solid stats and Minnesota’s strong bullpen rank make the Twins a good value pick at -143 odds. Bet smart and check the best odds across sportsbooks.


Welcome to our comprehensive Royals vs Twins prediction for the matchup on Monday, May 27, 2024. This game promises excitement as the Kansas City Royals face off against the Minnesota Twins at Target Field. With Alec Marsh and Joe Ryan taking the mound, our analysis and MLB betting model offer key insights to help you make informed bets.

Game Info & Sportsbook Odds

Away Team: Kansas City Royals
Home Team: Minnesota Twins
Ballpark: Target Field

Decimal Odds:

  • Kansas City Royals: 2.25
  • Minnesota Twins: 1.70

US Odds:

  • Kansas City Royals: +125
  • Minnesota Twins: -143

Odds can change, so always check the best MLB odds across different sportsbooks.

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Starting Pitchers

Kansas City Royals: Alec Marsh

Alec Marsh, a right-handed pitcher, comes into this game with a solid ERA of 2.72. His advanced stats show a pitcher who can handle himself on the mound:

  • SIERA: 4.12
  • xFIP: 4.1
  • K/9: 7.53
  • BB/9: 2.51
  • WHIP: 1.07
  • GB/FB: 0.83
  • xERA: 4.03

Minnesota Twins: Joe Ryan

Joe Ryan, also a right-handed pitcher, boasts an impressive ERA of 3.15. His advanced metrics highlight his strong performance and control:

  • SIERA: 3.07
  • xFIP: 3.17
  • K/9: 9.6
  • BB/9: 1.35
  • WHIP: 0.98
  • GB/FB: 0.8
  • xERA: 2.78

Bullpen Matchup

The bullpen matchup significantly favors the Minnesota Twins:

  • Kansas City Royals: Rank 28
  • Minnesota Twins: Rank 7

Offensive (Hitting) Matchup

When comparing the offensive capabilities of both teams, we look at their overall rank and performance against different types of pitchers:

  • Kansas City Royals:
  • Overall Rank: 16
  • Rank vs Left-Handed Pitchers: 11
  • Rank vs Right-Handed Pitchers: 16
  • Minnesota Twins:
  • Overall Rank: 15
  • Rank vs Left-Handed Pitchers: 9
  • Rank vs Right-Handed Pitchers: 17
Royals vs Twins Prediction

Betting Model Probability for Royals vs Twins Prediction

Based on our MLB betting model, here are the probabilities and projected odds:

  • Kansas City Royals (Alec Marsh):
  • Probability: 35.38%
  • MLB Model Projected US Odds: +183
  • MLB Model Projected Decimal Odds: 2.83
  • Minnesota Twins (Joe Ryan):
  • Probability: 64.61%
  • MLB Model Projected US Odds: -183
  • MLB Model Projected Decimal Odds: 1.55

Recommended MLB Pick

Based on our analysis and the MLB betting model, we recommend the following pick:

  • Side: Minnesota Twins
  • Pitcher: Joe Ryan
  • Odds: -143
  • Adjusted Kelly Criterion Calculated Value: 1.41
  • Confidence: Good value

Conclusion for Royals vs Twins Prediction

Using this Royals vs Twins Prediction can aid in making informed bets. However, it’s crucial never to blindly follow any sports picks. Always shop for the best MLB betting odds and take advantage of bonuses and promotions during the betting season. If you aim to bet like a pro, utilizing sports betting models and analytical methods is key. For more detailed picks and predictions, check out our “MLB Picks” page or learn how to make your own baseball betting projections with our MLB Betting Model available on Google Sheets. Additionally, consider exploring our sports betting courses to enhance your betting skills.

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