Royals vs Orioles Prediction

Our MLB betting model analysis for the Royals vs Orioles showdown on April 2, 2024, gives the Orioles a 57.85% winning probability, with projected odds at -137. Conversely, the Royals stand a 42.14% chance, marked at +137. Dive into our detailed prediction to spot where the value lies for your bets.


The upcoming match between the Kansas City Royals and the Baltimore Orioles on Tuesday, April 2, 2024, at the iconic Oriole Park at Camden Yards, presents a fascinating scenario for baseball aficionados and bettors alike. This Royals vs Orioles prediction analysis delves deep into the starting pitchers, bullpen strength, offensive matchups, and betting odds, providing a well-rounded view for those looking to place informed bets. With Alec Marsh taking the mound for the Royals against the Orioles’ Cole Irvin, this game promises to be an engaging contest.

Game Information & Sportsbook Odds

Date: Tuesday, April 2, 2024
Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Away Team: Kansas City Royals
Home Team: Baltimore Orioles
Decimal Odds: Royals at 2.36 | Orioles at 1.62
US Odds: Royals +136 | Orioles -161

Please note: Odds can change, so it’s crucial to check the latest MLB odds across different sportsbooks.

Royals vs Orioles Prediction

Starting Pitcher Analysis

Alec Marsh (Kansas City Royals)

  • Hand: Right
  • ERA: 7.64
  • Advanced Stats: SIERA: 4.76, xFIP: 5.26, K/9: 10.44, BB/9: 5.09, WHIP: 1.75, GB/FB: 0.62, xERA: Not Provided

Cole Irvin (Baltimore Orioles)

  • Hand: Left
  • ERA: 4.81
  • Advanced Stats: SIERA: 4.61, xFIP: 4.77, K/9: 7.45, BB/9: 2.48, WHIP: 1.31, GB/FB: 0.95, xERA: Not Provided

Bullpen Matchup

  • Kansas City Royals Bullpen Rank: 19
  • Baltimore Orioles Bullpen Rank: 15

Offensive Matchup

  • Kansas City Royals: Overall Rank 25, Rank vs Left Handed Pitchers 19, Rank vs Right Handed Pitchers 26
  • Baltimore Orioles: Overall Rank 15, Rank vs Left Handed Pitchers 19, Rank vs Right Handed Pitchers 12

MLB Betting Model Analysis

  • Kansas City Royals (Alec Marsh): Probability 42.14%, MLB Model Projected US Odds +137, MLB Model Projected Decimal Odds 2.37
  • Baltimore Orioles (Cole Irvin): Probability 57.85%, MLB Model Projected US Odds -137, MLB Model Projected Decimal Odds 1.73

Recommended MLB Pick

Side: Kansas City Royals
Pitcher: Alec Marsh
Odds: +136
Adjusted Kelly Criterion Calculated Value: -0.04

Conclusion for Royals vs Orioles Prediction

This Royals vs Orioles prediction serves as a guide to help you make informed decisions when betting on MLB games. With a detailed analysis of pitching performance, bullpen strength, and offensive matchups, bettors can gain a clearer understanding of where the value lies. While the Orioles come into the game as favorites, the detailed stats reveal a potentially closer contest than the odds suggest. Always remember to shop around for the best MLB baseball betting odds and take advantage of any bonuses and promotions during the baseball betting season. For those looking to refine their betting strategy, consider exploring sports betting courses that emphasize analytical models and projections.

Remember, use this Royals vs Orioles prediction as a tool, but never blindly follow any sports picks. Good luck!

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