Royals vs Mets Prediction

Our MLB betting model gives the Royals a 43.36% chance and the Mets a 56.63% chance in the upcoming Royals vs Mets game. With Alec Marsh at the mound, the Royals present a value pick at +138 odds, suggesting a closer game than initially anticipated. Always verify the latest odds.


The upcoming MLB game on Saturday, April 13, 2024, between the Kansas City Royals and the New York Mets promises to be an exciting clash. Set at Citi Field, this Royals vs Mets prediction delves into the details with starting pitchers Alec Marsh for the Royals and Sean Manaea for the Mets. With the odds currently favoring the Mets, we will explore various aspects of the matchup to provide a comprehensive analysis.

Game Overview: Royals vs Mets

Game Details

  • Date: Saturday, April 13, 2024
  • Location: Citi Field, New York
  • Odds: Kansas City Royals (2.38 Decimal, +138 US), New York Mets (1.71 Decimal, -141 US)

Starting Pitchers Analysis

Alec Marsh (Kansas City Royals)

  • Hand: Right
  • ERA: 6.51
  • Advanced Stats: SIERA: 4.66, xFIP: 4.94, K/9: 9.38, BB/9: 4.21, WHIP: 1.57, GB/FB: 0.63

Sean Manaea (New York Mets)

  • Hand: Right
  • ERA: 4.06
  • Advanced Stats: SIERA: 4.11, xFIP: 4.29, K/9: 9.36, BB/9: 3.12, WHIP: 1.23, GB/FB: 0.97

Team Matchup Analysis

Bullpen Performance

  • Kansas City Royals: Ranked 26th
  • New York Mets: Ranked 8th

Offensive Comparison

  • Kansas City Royals: Overall Rank 6, vs LHP Rank 20, vs RHP Rank 5
  • New York Mets: Overall Rank 17, vs LHP Rank 5, vs RHP Rank 22

Betting Analysis: Royals vs Mets Prediction

MLB Betting Model Outcomes

  • Kansas City Royals: 43.36% probability, Projected US odds 131, Decimal odds 2.31
  • New York Mets: 56.63% probability, Projected US odds -131, Decimal odds 1.77
Royals vs Mets Prediction

Recommended MLB Pick

  • Pick: Kansas City Royals (Moneyline)
  • Pitcher: Alec Marsh
  • Odds: +138
  • Confidence: Tiny value based on Adjusted Kelly Criterion (0.23)

Conclusion and Final Thoughts

This detailed Royals vs Mets prediction highlights the strengths and weaknesses of both teams and their starting pitchers. Despite the Royals’ lower rankings, their odds present a potential value pick, suggesting a closer matchup than the odds imply. Always remember to check for the latest odds and consider multiple sources before placing any bets. For those looking to deepen their understanding of MLB betting strategies, consider accessing more advanced betting models or sports betting courses.

Remember: No prediction is infallible. Always shop for the best MLB odds and take advantage of any bonuses and promotions during the baseball betting season.

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