Royals vs Dodgers Prediction

Our Royals vs Dodgers Prediction highlights the Dodgers’ edge with a 58.23% win probability based on our MLB betting model. Despite Gavin Stone’s impressive ERA, Cole Ragans’ strong stats give the Royals a fighting chance. Check the best MLB odds and make informed bets for Friday’s game!


When it comes to making well-informed MLB betting decisions, our Royals vs Dodgers Prediction for Friday, June 14, 2024, stands out. As the Kansas City Royals face off against the Los Angeles Dodgers, we’ll dive deep into the advanced statistics, betting odds, and matchup specifics to provide you with the most accurate prediction. Both teams bring strong pitching to the mound, with Cole Ragans and Gavin Stone taking center stage in what promises to be a compelling contest.

Game Info & Sportsbook Odds

Kansas City Royals vs Los Angeles Dodgers

Date: Friday, June 14, 2024
Ballpark: Dodger Stadium

Away Team: Kansas City Royals
Home Team: Los Angeles Dodgers

  • Decimal odds: Royals 2.30, Dodgers 1.60
  • US odds: Royals +130, Dodgers -167

Note: Odds are subject to change. Always check the latest MLB odds across different sportsbooks for the best value.

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Starting Pitchers Analysis

Kansas City Royals: Cole Ragans

Cole Ragans, a left-handed pitcher, enters this matchup with a solid 3.08 ERA. His advanced metrics are equally impressive:

  • SIERA: 3.11
  • xFIP: 2.99
  • K/9: 11.16
  • BB/9: 2.85
  • WHIP: 1.15
  • GB/FB: 1.07
  • xERA: 3.29

Ragans has demonstrated remarkable control and strikeout ability, making him a formidable opponent on the mound.

Los Angeles Dodgers: Gavin Stone

Gavin Stone, a right-handed pitcher, boasts a slightly lower ERA at 2.93. His advanced stats include:

  • SIERA: 4.26
  • xFIP: 3.95
  • K/9: 7.05
  • BB/9: 2.79
  • WHIP: 1.24
  • GB/FB: 1.32
  • xERA: 3.96

While Stone’s ERA is impressive, his underlying metrics suggest he might be overperforming. His lower strikeout rate and higher SIERA compared to Ragans indicate potential vulnerabilities.

Bullpen Matchup

The bullpen matchup heavily favors the Dodgers:

  • Kansas City Royals: Ranked 28th
  • Los Angeles Dodgers: Ranked 6th

The Dodgers’ bullpen has consistently been one of the best in the league, while the Royals have struggled, which could be a decisive factor late in the game.

Offensive Matchup

Overall Offensive Ranks

  • Kansas City Royals: 12th overall
  • Los Angeles Dodgers: 1st overall

Rank vs Left-Handed Pitchers

  • Kansas City Royals: 10th
  • Los Angeles Dodgers: 2nd

Rank vs Right-Handed Pitchers

  • Kansas City Royals: 12th
  • Los Angeles Dodgers: 3rd

The Dodgers’ offense is elite, ranking first overall and performing exceptionally well against both left and right-handed pitchers. The Royals have a respectable offense but pale in comparison to the Dodgers’ powerhouse lineup.

Royals vs Dodgers Prediction

MLB Betting Model Probability

Our MLB betting model gives us the following probabilities for the Royals vs Dodgers Prediction:

  • Kansas City Royals (Cole Ragans): 41.76%
    Model Projected US odds: +139
    Model Projected Decimal odds: 2.39
  • Los Angeles Dodgers (Gavin Stone): 58.23%
    Model Projected US odds: -139
    Model Projected Decimal odds: 1.72

The model suggests a slightly closer game than the current odds indicate, giving the Dodgers a solid edge but not overwhelming dominance.

Recommended MLB Pick

Based on our MLB Betting Model analysis, the recommended MLB pick is:

  • Side: Kansas City Royals
  • Pitcher: Cole Ragans
  • Odds: +130
  • Adjusted Kelly Criterion Calculated value: -0.30 (indicating no value, just a bold opinion)

While the model doesn’t find significant value in betting on the Royals, they do present a potential underdog opportunity given Ragans’ strong pitching metrics.

Conclusion: Royals vs Dodgers Prediction

In conclusion, our Royals vs Dodgers Prediction highlights a competitive matchup where the Dodgers hold the edge due to their superior bullpen and offensive capabilities. However, Cole Ragans’ impressive stats provide the Royals with a fighting chance. As always, use our analysis to guide your betting decisions, but remember to shop for the best MLB odds and take advantage of promotions during the betting season.

For more detailed betting picks and insights, visit our “MLB Picks” page, or explore our sports betting courses to learn how to create your own betting models and make informed decisions like a pro. Always bet responsibly and stay informed to maximize your chances of success.

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