Royals vs Angels Prediction

Get expert insight into the Royals vs Angels prediction. Our MLB betting model favors the Angels, assigning them a nearly 60% probability to win with Griffin Canning on the mound. Shop for the best odds and explore promotions to maximize your MLB betting value.


In the Royals vs Angels prediction, Friday, May 10, 2024, pits Alec Marsh against Griffin Canning. With Griffin Canning’s high K/9 rate and the Angels’ stronger bullpen, our MLB betting model favors the home team, giving them a nearly 60% win probability at Angel Stadium.

Game Information & Sportsbook Odds

  • Date: Friday, May 10, 2024
  • Venue: Angel Stadium
  • Away Team: Kansas City Royals (1.89 / -112)
  • Home Team: Los Angeles Angels (1.89 / -112)

Note: Odds can change, so always check for the best MLB betting odds across different sportsbooks.

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Starting Pitchers Breakdown

Kansas City Royals – Alec Marsh

  • Hand: Right-handed
  • ERA: 2.7

Advanced Stats

  • SIERA: 4.63
  • xFIP: 4.41
  • K/9: 5.74
  • BB/9: 2.36
  • WHIP: 1.01
  • GB/FB: 0.94
  • xERA: 4.69

Los Angeles Angels – Griffin Canning

  • Hand: Right-handed
  • ERA: 6.69

Advanced Stats

  • SIERA: 4.82
  • xFIP: 5.09
  • K/9: 6.69
  • BB/9: 3.34
  • WHIP: 1.43
  • GB/FB: 0.78
  • xERA: 5.05

Pitching Analysis
Alec Marsh has an edge over Griffin Canning based on their ERAs. Marsh has a lower WHIP and BB/9, demonstrating superior control. However, Canning boasts a higher K/9, which could pose a challenge for Royals hitters.

Bullpen Matchup

  • Kansas City Royals: Ranked 30th
  • Los Angeles Angels: Ranked 16th

The Angels bullpen outperforms the Royals significantly, and this advantage could play a pivotal role late in the game.

Offensive (Hitting) Matchup

  • Kansas City Royals:
  • Overall Rank: 23
  • Rank vs. Left-Handed Pitchers: 27
  • Rank vs. Right-Handed Pitchers: 16
  • Los Angeles Angels:
  • Overall Rank: 21
  • Rank vs. Left-Handed Pitchers: 8
  • Rank vs. Right-Handed Pitchers: 22

While the Royals have a slight edge against right-handed pitchers like Griffin Canning, the Angels are much stronger against lefties.

Royals vs Angels Prediction

MLB Betting Model Analysis

Probability & Projected Odds

  • Kansas City Royals (Alec Marsh):
  • Probability: 40.05%
  • Projected US Odds: +150
  • Projected Decimal Odds: 2.50
  • Los Angeles Angels (Griffin Canning):
  • Probability: 59.94%
  • Projected US Odds: -150
  • Projected Decimal Odds: 1.67

Recommended MLB Pick

Side: Los Angeles Angels
Pitcher: Griffin Canning
Odds: -112
Adjusted Kelly Criterion Value: 1.49
Confidence: Good value

The Angels are projected to win based on the betting model’s analysis, especially given their favorable odds.

Conclusion for Royals vs Angels Prediction

The Royals vs Angels prediction indicates that the home team, Los Angeles Angels, holds the edge based on the pitching matchup, bullpen strength, and overall offensive capabilities. While it’s crucial to use this prediction as a guide, remember to shop for the best MLB betting odds and consider various promotions to maximize value. For advanced betting strategies and custom sports betting models, explore my sports betting courses to elevate your game to the pro level.

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