ROSE NAMAJUNAS vs TRACY CORTEZ UFC Prediction

The ROSE NAMAJUNAS vs TRACY CORTEZ UFC prediction reveals a compelling matchup. The UFC betting model probabilities show Tracy Cortez with a 53.58% chance according to the ELO model and 58.85% via Logistic Regression, making her the favored pick based on these analytical insights.


Introduction

The highly anticipated fight between Rose Namajunas and Tracy Cortez has garnered significant attention in the UFC community. As we delve into the ROSE NAMAJUNAS vs TRACY CORTEZ UFC prediction, we will explore the statistics, betting odds, and expert insights that shape this compelling matchup. This analysis is brought to you exclusively by Eric, a member of the Underdog Chance Sports Betting Masterclass, who has developed a sophisticated UFC betting model to provide informed predictions and betting model picks.

Game Info & Sportsbook Odds

The bout between Rose Namajunas and Tracy Cortez is set for Saturday, July 13, 2024. Understanding the current sportsbook odds is crucial for making informed betting decisions. Here are the odds as of now:

  • Rose Namajunas: Decimal odds: 1.44 | US odds: -227
  • Tracy Cortez: Decimal odds: 2.80 | US odds: 180

Always remember that odds can fluctuate, so it’s essential to shop around for the best UFC odds across various sportsbooks.

Comparing Stats

To provide a comprehensive ROSE NAMAJUNAS vs TRACY CORTEZ UFC prediction, we need to compare both fighters’ stats, analyzing their performance metrics and how they stack up against each other.

Striking

  • Significant Strikes Landed per Minute:
  • Rose Namajunas: 3.69
  • Tracy Cortez: 4.11
  • Striking Accuracy:
  • Rose Namajunas: 41%
  • Tracy Cortez: 53%
  • Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute:
  • Rose Namajunas: 3.51
  • Tracy Cortez: 2.79
  • Striking Defense:
  • Rose Namajunas: 63%
  • Tracy Cortez: 60%

Grappling

  • Takedown Average per 15 minutes:
  • Rose Namajunas: 1.38
  • Tracy Cortez: 0.6
  • Takedown Accuracy:
  • Rose Namajunas: 47%
  • Tracy Cortez: 46%
  • Takedown Defense:
  • Rose Namajunas: 59%
  • Tracy Cortez: 75%
  • Submission Average per 15 minutes:
  • Rose Namajunas: 0.5
  • Tracy Cortez: 0.3
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ELO Ratings and Betting Model Probabilities

ELO ratings and betting model probabilities provide additional layers of analysis for our ROSE NAMAJUNAS vs TRACY CORTEZ UFC prediction.

  • ELO Rating:
  • Rose Namajunas: 1532.11
  • Tracy Cortez: 1557.05
ROSE NAMAJUNAS vs TRACY CORTEZ UFC Prediction

Betting Model Predictions

  • ELO UFC Betting Model Probability:
  • Rose Namajunas: 46.42%
  • Tracy Cortez: 53.58%
  • Logistic Regression UFC Betting Model Probability:
  • Rose Namajunas: 41.15%
  • Tracy Cortez: 58.85%

The power of the UFC betting model from Underdog Chance member Eric is most potent when both the ELO model and the Logistic Regression model align, especially when odds are between 1.50 and 3.0 (US odds -200 to +200).

Recommended UFC Fight Pick

Based on Eric’s UFC Fight Predictions Betting Model Analysis, the recommended pick for this matchup is:

  • Tracy Cortez to win

This recommendation is rooted in the convergence of both betting models favoring Cortez, coupled with her higher striking accuracy and superior takedown defense.

Conclusion: ROSE NAMAJUNAS vs TRACY CORTEZ UFC Prediction

In summary, our ROSE NAMAJUNAS vs TRACY CORTEZ UFC prediction highlights the importance of leveraging statistical analysis and betting models to make informed decisions. While Tracy Cortez is the recommended pick, it’s crucial to remember that no prediction is infallible. For final and accurate UFC picks, always consider the latest MMA news, shop for the best UFC betting odds, and take advantage of bonuses and promotions offered by sportsbooks.

If you aspire to bet like a pro, analytically and with a solid understanding of sports betting models, consider exploring our sports betting courses. These courses provide the knowledge and tools necessary to build your own betting model and achieve long-term success in sports betting.

Stay informed, bet wisely, and enjoy the fight!


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