Rockies vs Pirates Prediction

Our MLB betting model gives the Pittsburgh Pirates a 70.78% chance of winning against the Colorado Rockies. With projected odds of -242 for the Pirates and +242 for the Rockies, betting insights suggest favoring Pittsburgh in this matchup. Always check current odds and use predictions responsibly.


In our detailed Rockies vs Pirates prediction for the upcoming game on Saturday, May 4, 2024, we delve deep into the starting pitchers’ showdown at PNC Park. The Colorado Rockies, led by left-hander Austin Gomber, face off against Jared Jones and the Pittsburgh Pirates in what promises to be an intriguing matchup. Both teams come with distinct advantages and drawbacks, making this game a fascinating case study for MLB bettors.

Game Details and Betting Odds

  • Date and Time: Saturday, May 4, 2024
  • Venue: PNC Park, Pittsburgh
  • Betting Odds: Colorado Rockies (Decimal: 2.70, US: +170), Pittsburgh Pirates (Decimal: 1.50, US: -200)

Remember, betting odds can fluctuate, so it’s crucial to check for the best MLB odds across various sportsbooks before placing any bets.

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Pitching Matchup Analysis

Austin Gomber (Colorado Rockies)

  • Hand: Left
  • ERA: 4.5
  • Advanced Stats: SIERA: 4.71, xFIP: 4.53, K/9: 6.19, BB/9: 3.09, WHIP: 1.34, GB/FB: 1.05, xERA: 4.63

Jared Jones (Pittsburgh Pirates)

  • Hand: Right
  • ERA: 3.18
  • Advanced Stats: SIERA: 2.48, xFIP: 2.5, K/9: 11.12, BB/9: 1.32, WHIP: 0.91, GB/FB: 1.06, xERA: 3.59


Comparing the pitchers, Jared Jones shows a significant edge over Austin Gomber in almost all advanced metrics. Jones’ superior strikeout rate and lower walk rate indicate better control and efficiency, which could be crucial in controlling the Rockies’ offense.

Team Offense and Bullpen Matchups

Offensive Matchup

  • Colorado Rockies Offense: Overall Rank – 28, Rank vs LHP – 21, Rank vs RHP – 26
  • Pittsburgh Pirates Offense: Overall Rank – 27, Rank vs LHP – 11, Rank vs RHP – 30

Bullpen Strength

  • Colorado Rockies Bullpen Rank: 30
  • Pittsburgh Pirates Bullpen Rank: 16

The Pirates hold a noticeable advantage when facing left-handed pitchers, which could come into play against Gomber. Moreover, the Pirates’ bullpen is significantly stronger than the Rockies’, ranked at 16th compared to 30th, which might influence the late-game dynamics.

Rockies vs Pirates Prediction

MLB Betting Model Analysis

According to our proprietary MLB betting model:

  • Probability: Rockies (29.22%), Pirates (70.78%)
  • Projected Odds: Rockies (Decimal: 3.42, US: +242), Pirates (Decimal: 1.41, US: -242)

Recommended MLB Pick

  • Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates
  • Pitcher: Jared Jones
  • Odds: -200
  • Value and Confidence: Good value with a 1.23 adjusted Kelly Criterion calculated value

Conclusion: Making Your Rockies vs Pirates Prediction

Our analysis suggests a strong inclination towards the Pittsburgh Pirates as the more probable victors in this matchup. While the Rockies vs Pirates prediction shows Pittsburgh as a solid favorite, it’s essential for bettors to shop for the best MLB baseball betting odds and consider promotions during the ice baseball betting season. For those interested in refining their betting strategies, consider exploring sports betting courses that utilize analytical models like ours.


Always use Rockies vs Pirates predictions as a guide but verify against current conditions and odds. Never blindly follow any sports picks, and always aim for informed decisions in your betting journey.

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