Welcome to MLB betting model projections and predictions from my private spreadsheets. Let’s also tap into the AI ChatGPT prediction for this electrifying game. The foundation of this prediction stems from my private MLB betting model, boasting a profit of over 40 units in a mere 4 months. Additionally, it’s worth noting that it’s surpassed the closing line over 70% of the time, showcasing high-value best MLB bets that beat the line more than 90% of times with a positive CLV of +4.52%.
Betting Odds Unveiled
- Colorado Rockies: US odds: 178 | Decimal odds: 2.78
- Arizona Diamondbacks: US odds: -196 | Decimal odds: 1.51
- Date: September 5, 2023
- Venue: Chase Field
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Team Analysis: A Closer Look
Colorado Rockies: The Highs and Lows
- Games Played: 137
- Runs Per Game (R/G): With 4.4 runs on average, the Rockies rank 19th.
- Home Runs (HR): Having hit 135 home runs, they’re positioned at 27th.
- Runs Batted In (RBI): With 575 RBIs, they take the 20th spot.
- Stolen Bases (SB): Unfortunately, with only 56, they’re last in the league.
- Batting Average (BA): At 0.248, they’re 18th in the league.
- On-Base Percentage (OBP): Their OBP of 0.31 lands them at 26th place.
- Slugging Percentage (SLG): They rank 22nd with a SLG of 0.401.
- OPS: Standing 22nd with an OPS of 0.711.
- OPS+: With an OPS+ of 83, they match the league average.
Arizona Diamondbacks: Power and Precision
- Games Played: 138
- R/G: Their R/G of 4.66 puts them at the 13th position.
- HR: With 151 homers, they’re 20th in the league.
- RBI: Their 607 RBIs rank them 15th.
- SB: Excelling with 135 stolen bases, they rank 4th.
- BA: Their batting average of 0.253 places them 12th.
- OBP: Ranking 15th with an OBP of 0.322.
- SLG: They rank 14th with a SLG of 0.418.
- OPS: With an OPS of 0.74, they secure the 15th spot.
- OPS+: Matching the league’s average, their OPS+ is 102.
The Rockies have entrusted their game to Kyle Freeland, a left-handed pitcher. With a 5-14 win-loss record in 26 games started, his ERA stands at 5.18.
On the other side, the Diamondbacks are placing their faith in Brandon Pfaadt, a right-handed pitcher. He holds a win-loss record of 1-7 in 14 games started and has an ERA of 6.21.
- Colorado Rockies: 28th out of 30 teams
- Arizona Diamondbacks: Landing in the middle at 16th
MLB Betting Model Prediction
According to my betting model:
- Colorado Rockies: Projected win percentage of 29.95%. Projected US odds stand at 234, with decimal odds of 3.34.
- Arizona Diamondbacks: Dominating with a projected win percentage of 70.04%. Their projected US odds are -234, with decimal odds of 1.43.
For the full game, the value lies with the Arizona Diamondbacks. However, for the first half, there’s no qualified bet.
Recommended MLB bet: Arizona Diamondbacks -196
AI Betting Prediction
Given the statistics, team performances, and betting odds, the AI prediction leans towards the Arizona Diamondbacks as the more favorable choice. Based on the presented odds and team stats, the Diamondbacks have exhibited a stronger season performance, making them a potential value bet.
- Colorado Rockies: US odds 178 | Decimal odds 2.78
- Arizona Diamondbacks: US odds -196 | Decimal odds 1.51
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