Rockies vs Cubs Prediction

Our MLB betting model places the Chicago Cubs ahead with a 70.43% probability against the Colorado Rockies for the upcoming game. With projected odds favoring the Cubs at -238, it suggests a compelling pick against the Rockies, standing at +238 with a 29.55% chance of victory. Bet wisely!


As we approach the game scheduled for Tuesday, April 2, 2024, the Rockies vs Cubs prediction becomes a topic of heated discussions among MLB enthusiasts and bettors alike. With the Colorado Rockies heading to Wrigley Field to face off against the Chicago Cubs, this matchup promises to be a gripping confrontation. Featuring starting pitchers Kyle Freeland for the Rockies and Javier Assad for the Cubs, the game’s outcome has bettors and fans eagerly analyzing stats, odds, and performance histories.

Game Info & Sportsbook Odds

  • Away Team: Colorado Rockies (Decimal odds: 2.64, US odds: +164)
  • Home Team: Chicago Cubs (Decimal odds: 1.51, US odds: -196)
  • Ballpark: Wrigley Field

Note: Odds are subject to change. Always check the latest MLB odds on different sportsbooks.

Starting Pitchers Analysis

Kyle Freeland (Colorado Rockies)

  • Hand: Left Handed Pitcher
  • ERA: 5.03
  • Advanced Stats: SIERA: 5.24, xFIP: 5.13, K/9: 5.43, BB/9: 2.43, WHIP: 1.47, GB/FB: 1, xERA: 5.7

Javier Assad (Chicago Cubs)

  • Hand: Right Handed Pitcher
  • ERA: 3.02
  • Advanced Stats: SIERA: 4.71, xFIP: 4.48, K/9: 7.04, BB/9: 3.02, WHIP: 1.23, GB/FB: 1.3
Rockies vs Cubs Prediction

Bullpen Matchup

  • Colorado Rockies Rank: 28
  • Chicago Cubs Rank: 16

Offensive (Hitting) Matchup

  • Colorado Rockies Overall Rank: 30 (Rank vs LHP: 30, Rank vs RHP: 30)
  • Chicago Cubs Overall Rank: 10 (Rank vs LHP: 15, Rank vs RHP: 15)

MLB Betting Model Probability for Rockies vs Cubs Prediction

  • Colorado Rockies (Kyle Freeland): 29.55% probability, Projected US odds: +238, Projected Decimal odds: 3.38
  • Chicago Cubs (Javier Assad): 70.43% probability, Projected US odds: -238, Projected Decimal odds: 1.42

Recommended MLB Pick

  • Side: Chicago Cubs (Pitcher: Javier Assad)
  • Odds: -196
  • Adjusted Kelly Criterion Calculated Value: 1.25

Analysis Summary

The Rockies vs Cubs prediction underscores a significant advantage for the Cubs, especially with Javier Assad on the mound. Assad’s superior performance metrics, including a lower ERA, better strikeout-to-walk ratio (K/9 and BB/9), and WHIP, suggest a strong day for the Cubs’ pitching. The Rockies, struggling with both their bullpen’s effectiveness and offensive capabilities, find themselves at a disadvantage.


This Rockies vs Cubs prediction serves as a guide rather than an absolute directive. Always ensure to shop for the best MLB Baseball Betting Odds and leverage bonuses and promotions during the Ice Baseball Betting Season. If keen on elevating your betting strategy, consider exploring analytical sports betting models and courses. The matchup between Kyle Freeland and Javier Assad offers a clear insight into the game’s dynamics, favoring the Cubs based on our MLB Betting Model Analysis.

Remember, the essence of sports betting lies in informed decisions and strategic wagers. For more detailed analysis, picks, and insights, check out the “MLB Picks” page or delve into our MLB Betting Model on Google Sheets for a hands-on approach to crafting your predictions.

This post is crafted for sports betting enthusiasts and MLB fans aiming for an in-depth analysis of the Rockies vs Cubs game. It combines statistical insights, betting odds, and performance analytics to provide a comprehensive prediction for Tuesday, April 2, 2024, game at Wrigley Field.

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