Red Sox vs Twins Prediction

Explore our detailed Red Sox vs Twins prediction featuring MLB betting model insights. Boston Red Sox show a competitive edge with a 49.08% probability at +135 odds, slightly underdog to Minnesota Twins at 50.92%. Check the latest stats and odds to inform your bets effectively.


As the Boston Red Sox prepare to face the Minnesota Twins at Target Field on May 3, 2024, all eyes are on the starting pitchers: Tanner Houck and Chris Paddack. This Red Sox vs Twins prediction will analyze various aspects, including pitching, hitting, and bullpen performances, complemented by advanced stats and betting odds. Our goal is to provide a well-rounded perspective to guide your betting decisions.

Game Overview and Odds

Date and Venue

  • Date: Friday, May 3, 2024
  • Venue: Target Field, Home of the Minnesota Twins

Sportsbook Odds

  • Boston Red Sox: 2.35 (Decimal), +135 (US)
  • Minnesota Twins: 1.58 (Decimal), -172 (US)

Note: Odds are subject to change; always check for the latest odds before placing bets.

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Pitching Matchup Analysis

Tanner Houck (Boston Red Sox)

  • Hand: Right
  • ERA: 1.60
  • Advanced Stats:
  • SIERA: 2.62
  • xFIP: 2.58
  • K/9: 9.38
  • BB/9: 1.14
  • WHIP: 0.92
  • GB/FB: 2.23
  • xERA: 3.04

Chris Paddack (Minnesota Twins)

  • Hand: Right
  • ERA: 5.88
  • Advanced Stats:
  • SIERA: 4.21
  • xFIP: 4.21
  • K/9: 7.27
  • BB/9: 2.08
  • WHIP: 1.69
  • GB/FB: 1.06
  • xERA: 5.52

Team Comparisons

Bullpen Strength

  • Boston Red Sox: Ranked 10th
  • Minnesota Twins: Ranked 2nd

Offensive Matchup

  • Boston Red Sox:
  • Overall Rank: 7
  • Rank vs LHP: 14
  • Rank vs RHP: 8
  • Minnesota Twins:
  • Overall Rank: 8
  • Rank vs LHP: 4
  • Rank vs RHP: 12
Red Sox vs Twins Prediction

Betting Model Insights

Probability and Odds

  • Boston Red Sox (Tanner Houck):
  • Probability: 49.08%
  • Projected US Odds: +104
  • Projected Decimal Odds: 2.04
  • Minnesota Twins (Chris Paddack):
  • Probability: 50.92%
  • Projected US Odds: -104
  • Projected Decimal Odds: 1.96

Recommended MLB Pick

  • Pick: Boston Red Sox (Moneyline)
  • Pitcher: Tanner Houck
  • Odds: +135
  • Kelly Criterion Value: 1.14
  • Confidence: Good Value

Conclusion: Red Sox vs Twins Prediction

In our analysis of the upcoming game between the Red Sox and the Twins, it is crucial to use the Red Sox vs Twins prediction as a tool rather than a definitive guide. Always shop for the best MLB Baseball Betting Odds and take advantage of bonuses and promotions during the Ice Baseball Betting Season. If you’re interested in learning to bet like a professional, analytically with sports betting models, consider checking out our sports betting courses.

Always remember, no prediction is perfect. Use this analysis as one of many tools in your betting strategy to maximize your knowledge and potential returns.

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