Rays vs Twins Prediction: 9/12/2023 – Free MLB picks for Today

Introduction to this Baseball Game

Welcome, baseball fans! Today, we’ll delve into the MLB betting model projections, pulling insights from my tailored spreadsheets, and get a fresh perspective from AI ChatGPT. This prediction isn’t any regular guesswork. Over the past 4 months, my private MLB betting model has banked more than 40 units, consistently beating the closing line over 70% of the time. And when we talk about high value? The best MLB bets outperformed the line more than 90% of times with an enviable positive CLV of +4.52%.

Betting Odds Breakdown

• Tampa Bay Rays: US odds at +105, translating to Decimal odds of 2.05.
• Minnesota Twins: Positioned stronger with US odds at -118 or Decimal odds of 1.85. Date: September 12, 2023 Venue: Target Field

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Team Analysis

Tampa Bay Rays Performance Metrics

• Games Played: 145
• R/G (Runs Per Game): 5.33, ranking them 4th in the league.
• Home Runs: A total of 208, making them 5th.
• RBIs: 741, positioning them at 5th again.
• Stolen Bases: 154, impressive at 3rd in the league.
• Batting Average: 0.259, placing them at 6th.
• OBP (On Base Percentage): 0.332, which is the 5th best.
• SLG (Slugging Percentage): 0.446, ranking 4th.
• OPS: 0.778, another 4th rank.
• OPS+: 114, at par with the league average.

Minnesota Twins Performance Metrics

• Games Played: 144
• R/G: 4.64, slightly below the league average, placing them at 13th.
• Home Runs: 203, ranking 6th.
• RBIs: 641, which is 14th in the league.
• Stolen Bases: 79, quite low at 25th.
• Batting Average: 0.242, lower than the Rays at 21st.
• OBP: 0.323, ranking them 14th.
• SLG: 0.424, placing them at 11th.
• OPS: 0.747, ranking 12th.
• OPS+: 103, just above the league average.

Pitchers on the Mound

• For Tampa Bay Rays: Zack Littell, with a right hand, has played 11 games, won 3, lost 4, with an ERA of 3.83. He boasts a K/9 of 6.5 and a WHIP of 1.11.
• For Minnesota Twins: Joe Ryan, also right-handed, showcases a record of 10 wins and 9 losses over 25 games. His ERA stands at 4.21, with an impressive K/9 of 10.79.

Bullpen Rankings out of 30 teams

• Tampa Bay Rays: They sit at 18th.
• Minnesota Twins: Fairly stronger at 10th.

MLB Betting Model Predictions

For the full game, my model projects the following:

• Tampa Bay Rays: 41.81% winning chance, with US odds of +139.
• Minnesota Twins: A stronger 58.19% winning chance, with US odds of -139. Projected Over/Under for total runs is set at 9.74.

Betting Recommendations

After a comprehensive analysis, the model suggests that there’s no qualified bet for the Full Game moneyline. However, for the First Half Betting, the Minnesota Twins come out as the value pick.

Today’s MLB Pick Twins 1st Half at -118.

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