Rangers vs Rockies Prediction

Our MLB betting model gives the Texas Rangers a 56.64% chance to win against the Colorado Rockies. While the Rangers are favored with projected odds of -131, there’s notable value in betting on the Rockies at +151. This Rangers vs Rockies prediction highlights an opportunity for value betting.


The upcoming Rangers vs Rockies prediction for Saturday, May 11, 2024, presents an intriguing matchup as the Texas Rangers visit the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field. With left-hander Andrew Heaney taking the mound for the Rangers against right-hander Ryan Feltner of the Rockies, bettors and fans are keenly looking forward to how these starting pitchers will perform. This analysis delves deep into the statistics, the betting odds, and what these might mean for your betting strategies.

Game Information and Odds

  • Date: Saturday, May 11, 2024
  • Location: Coors Field, Denver, Colorado
  • Odds:
  • Texas Rangers: -164 (Decimal: 1.61)
  • Colorado Rockies: +151 (Decimal: 2.51)

Please note, odds can change; always check the best MLB odds on different sportsbooks.

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Pitching Matchup Insight

Andrew Heaney – Texas Rangers

  • Hand: Left
  • ERA: 4.50
  • Advanced Stats:
  • SIERA: 4.14
  • xFIP: 4.63
  • K/9: 7.75
  • BB/9: 2.25
  • WHIP: 1.11
  • GB/FB: 0.71
  • xERA: 3.83

Ryan Feltner – Colorado Rockies

  • Hand: Right
  • ERA: 5.54
  • Advanced Stats:
  • SIERA: 3.83
  • xFIP: 3.86
  • K/9: 8.31
  • BB/9: 2.31
  • WHIP: 1.46
  • GB/FB: 1.22
  • xERA: 3.40

Team Comparison and Bullpen Analysis

Bullpen Rankings

  • Texas Rangers: 23rd
  • Colorado Rockies: 29th

Offensive Matchups

  • Texas Rangers’ Hitting:
  • Overall Rank: 13
  • Against Left-Handed Pitchers: 23
  • Against Right-Handed Pitchers: 8
  • Colorado Rockies’ Hitting:
  • Overall Rank: 26
  • Against Left-Handed Pitchers: 22
  • Against Right-Handed Pitchers: 27

MLB Betting Model Predictions

Probability Analysis

  • Texas Rangers (Andrew Heaney):
  • Model Probability: 56.64%
  • Projected US Odds: -131
  • Projected Decimal Odds: 1.77
  • Colorado Rockies (Ryan Feltner):
  • Model Probability: 43.36%
  • Projected US Odds: 131
  • Projected Decimal Odds: 2.31
Rangers vs Rockies Prediction

Recommended MLB Pick

  • Side: Colorado Rockies
  • Pitcher: Ryan Feltner
  • Odds: +151
  • Adjusted Kelly Criterion Calculated Value: 0.59
  • Confidence: Solid Value

Conclusion: Rangers vs Rockies Prediction

In this Rangers vs Rockies prediction, while the statistical analysis slightly favors the Texas Rangers, the betting value lies with the Colorado Rockies. The odds provided reflect a solid value based on the advanced metrics of Ryan Feltner and the home-field advantage at Coors Field. As always, it’s crucial to shop for the best MLB Baseball Betting Odds and consider promotions and bonuses during the baseball betting season. For those looking to refine their betting skills, consider diving into sports betting courses to learn how to bet analytically with sports betting models. Remember, use this analysis as a guide and not the sole factor in your betting decisions.

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