Phillies vs Reds Prediction April 23

For the Phillies vs Reds game on April 23, 2024, our MLB betting model gives the Phillies a 57.18% chance to win with Cristopher Sanchez pitching. Bet confidently on the Phillies at -134, as they show a tiny edge over the Reds in our analysis. Always check for the best odds.


As we gear up for the Phillies vs Reds game on Tuesday, April 23, 2024, at the Great American Ball Park, it’s crucial to dive into the Phillies vs Reds prediction, considering the starting pitchers and the teams’ recent performances. This match features Philadelphia Phillies’ Cristopher Sanchez against Cincinnati Reds’ Andrew Abbott, both left-handed pitchers who have demonstrated commendable skills this season.

Game Information and Current Odds

Match Details

  • Date: April 23, 2024
  • Venue: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH

Sportsbook Odds

  • Philadelphia Phillies: -133 (Decimal: 1.75)
  • Cincinnati Reds: +105 (Decimal: 2.05)

Note: Odds are subject to change. Always confirm with multiple sportsbooks to find the best MLB odds.

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Pitching Matchup Analysis

Cristopher Sanchez (Philadelphia Phillies)

  • Hand: Left
  • ERA: 2.53
  • SIERA: 3.01
  • xFIP: 2.75
  • K/9: 10.55
  • BB/9: 3.38
  • WHIP: 1.31
  • GB/FB Ratio: 3.08
  • xERA: 2.61

Andrew Abbott (Cincinnati Reds)

  • Hand: Left
  • ERA: 2.7
  • SIERA: 4.74
  • xFIP: 5.00
  • K/9: 6.56
  • BB/9: 2.70
  • WHIP: 1.07
  • GB/FB Ratio: 0.58
  • xERA: 3.35

Comparative Insights

Cristopher Sanchez outperforms Andrew Abbott in strikeouts per nine innings and exhibits a stronger xERA and SIERA, indicating a potentially more effective outing against the Reds’ lineup.

Phillies vs Reds Prediction

Bullpen and Offensive Matchup

Bullpen Strength

Both teams rank 14th in bullpen effectiveness, suggesting a relatively even matchup from the relievers.

Offensive Capabilities

  • Philadelphia Phillies
  • Overall Rank: 19
  • Rank vs Left-Handed Pitchers: 11
  • Rank vs Right-Handed Pitchers: 23
  • Cincinnati Reds
  • Overall Rank: 21
  • Rank vs Left-Handed Pitchers: 14
  • Rank vs Right-Handed Pitchers: 23

The Phillies show a better capability to handle left-handed pitching, which could be crucial in this matchup.

MLB Betting Model Predictions

Probabilities and Recommended Picks

  • Philadelphia Phillies (Cristopher Sanchez): 57.18% probability, Projected Odds -134 (Decimal: 1.75)
  • Cincinnati Reds (Andrew Abbott): 42.82% probability, Projected Odds +134 (Decimal: 2.34)

Betting Insights

The model indicates a slight edge for the Phillies, making them a valuable pick at the current odds. The adjusted Kelly Criterion suggests a tiny value bet on the Phillies, reinforcing confidence in their chances.

Conclusion: Phillies vs Reds Prediction

In your approach to the Phillies vs Reds prediction, it’s essential to combine the insights from our analysis with the best available MLB baseball betting odds. Remember, betting should be done responsibly, and always consider using analytical methods and sports betting models to inform your decisions. For more detailed betting strategies and real-time updates, check our “MLB Picks” page or learn to create your own betting projections through available resources.

Note: Always shop for the best lines and take advantage of any sportsbook bonuses and promotions during the MLB season.

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