As we delve into the Pelicans vs Kings prediction, it’s essential to analyze the critical statistics and player performances shaping this thrilling NBA encounter. The New Orleans Pelicans and the Sacramento Kings are set to battle it out, both teams showcasing notable strengths in shooting efficiency and rebounding abilities.

New Orleans Pelicans vs Sacramento Kings: Game Preview – January 7, 2024

Event Details

Date, Time, and Venue

  • Date: Sunday, January 7, 2024
  • Time: 6:00 PM EST
  • Venue: Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, California​​​

Team Overview

New Orleans Pelicans

  • Record: 21-15
  • Recent Performance: The Pelicans are coming off a loss to the LA Clippers, with Zion Williamson and Brandon Ingram having off-shooting nights. They start a five-game road trip with this match, seeking their first season series win against the Kings​​​​.

Sacramento Kings

  • Record: 21-13
  • Recent Performance: The Kings are currently on a two-game winning streak, winning four of their last five games. Domantas Sabonis is a key player, showcasing All-Star worthy performances​​.

Betting Trends and Odds

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Sportsbook Odds

  • Spread: Sacramento -3
  • Moneylines: Sacramento -146, New Orleans +125
  • Total: 234.5 points​
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Betting Insights

  • Pelicans ATS Record: 20-16-0
  • Kings ATS Record: 18-16
  • The Pelicans have a 58.8% win rate as underdogs this season​​​​.

Over/Under Stats

  • Kings’ Average PPG: 118.3
  • Pelicans’ Average PPG: 115.3
  • Kings’ Games Over 235.5: 52.9%
  • Pelicans’ Games Over 235.5: 30.6%​

Team News and Injuries

New Orleans Pelicans

  • Injuries: Matt Ryan is out due to elbow surgery. Jose Alvarado is also out. Zion Williamson is questionable due to a right quad contusion​​.

Sacramento Kings

  • Injuries: Trey Lyles is questionable with a right ankle sprain​​.

Additional Insights

  • The Pelicans are 5-5 against the spread and 6-4 overall in their last 10 games.
  • New Orleans scores 2.2 fewer points than the 117.5 points the Kings allow per game.
  • The Pelicans have a better ATS record when scoring more than 117.5 points​​.

This matchup highlights the contrasting recent forms of both teams. The Pelicans are looking to bounce back and secure a win in the season series, while the Kings aim to extend their winning streak. Injuries and player performance will be crucial factors in this game. The odds and betting trends suggest a close contest, with the Kings slightly favored. The high over/under points towards an expectation of a high-scoring game.

Comparative Team Statistics

  • New Orleans Pelicans: Known for their resilience on the court, the Pelicans have a field goal percentage (FG%) of 33.8%, an impressive three-point percentage (3P%) of 55.8%, and average 43.3 rebounds per game.
  • Sacramento Kings: The Kings, slightly edging out in FG% at 38.0% and close in 3P% at 55.1%, also maintain a solid rebounding average of 43.1, almost neck-and-neck with the Pelicans.

Key Player Predictions

Based on advanced analytics and my exclusive betting model, the following are the projected performances of key players:

New Orleans Pelicans

  • CJ McCollum: Expected to lead with 22.40 points.
  • Herbert Jones: A vital contributor with a projection of 9.90 points.
  • Brandon Ingram: Anticipated to make a significant impact with 26.05 points.
  • Jordan Hawkins and Jonas Valančiūnas: Expected to add depth with 11.31 and 11.50 points, respectively.

Sacramento Kings

  • De’Aaron Fox: Poised to be a game-changer with 27.73 points.
  • Chris Duarte and Harrison Barnes: Projected to contribute 6.94 and 11.41 points.
  • Keegan Murray and Domantas Sabonis: Key players expected to score 12.98 and 15.57 points, respectively.

Betting Model Projections

Pelicans vs Kings Prediction
  • Spread: The betting model indicates the Sacramento Kings as favorites with a -0.5 point spread.
  • Projected Total Points: The anticipated total points for over/under betting stand at 234.00.
  • NBA Pick Recommendation: The model suggests value in betting on the underdog, Pelicans +3, especially if Zion is playing for Pelicans.

Final Thoughts for Pelicans vs Kings Prediction

In making your Pelicans vs Kings prediction, consider the nuances of each team’s playing style and the projected contributions of their key players. Remember, the art of sports betting involves not just understanding the odds but also recognizing the value in underdog bets. For those seeking to elevate their betting game, explore my NBA betting model and join my free course for expert betting strategies and insights.

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