Introduction to Packers vs Cowboys Prediction

The upcoming Wild Card matchup in 2024 between the Green Bay Packers and the Dallas Cowboys is shaping up to be a thrilling contest. This blog post delves into detailed predictions for this highly anticipated game, using a unique NFL model I’ve developed with the assistance of AI technology and then turned the ideas into a betting spreadsheet.

nfl score predictions spreadsheet

Green Bay Packers vs Dallas Cowboys Wild Card Round 2024: Game Preview

The Green Bay Packers are set to face the Dallas Cowboys in a highly anticipated Wild Card round matchup of the 2024 NFL playoffs.

When and Where

  • Date: Sunday, January 14
  • Time: 4:30 p.m. ET (3:30 p.m. local time)
  • Venue: AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Texas
  • TV Broadcast: Fox
  • Live Stream Options: Fubo (United States), DAZN (Canada)

Team Overview

Dallas Cowboys

  • Season Record: 12-5
  • Key Highlights: Secured the 2-seed in the NFC after a dominant Week 18 victory. Dallas’ performance in the latter part of the season, especially the win over Detroit, was pivotal in securing a higher seed.

Green Bay Packers

  • Season Record: 9-8
  • Key Highlights: Clinched their playoff spot with a win over the Bears in Week 18. Jordan Love, stepping in for Aaron Rodgers, has shown promising performances, especially in the final week.

Head-to-Head and Historical Context

  • The Packers have historically had the upper hand, winning nine of their past 10 meetings.
  • This game marks the 9th playoff meeting between these two storied franchises.

Game Dynamics

  • The Cowboys, led by Dak Prescott, look to leverage their home advantage and recent form.
  • The Packers, under the leadership of Jordan Love, aim to continue their historical dominance over the Cowboys.

Betting Odds and Trends

Sportsbook Odds

  • Point Spread: The Cowboys opened as -7 favorites, which later adjusted to -7.5. The Packers stand at +7.5.
  • Moneyline: Cowboys at -345 and Packers at +290.
  • Over/Under: Started at 47.5 points, now at 49.5.
  • Sportsbook Promotions: For NFL betting enthusiasts in USA, sportsbooks like Mybookie, BetUs, Bovada, and Bodog (in Canada) are rolling out enticing promotional offers for this game. These platforms offer unique opportunities for bettors to engage with the game, each with its special features and benefits.

These odds reflect the general expectation that the Cowboys, with their strong season performance and home-field advantage, are the favorites. However, the Packers’ resilience, especially on the road, adds an intriguing dynamic to the betting scenario.

Betting Trends

  • Dallas Cowboys: They finished the season 12-5 straight up and 10-7 against the spread (ATS). The Cowboys have shown a mixed trend in covering spreads, with a stronger performance in the early season.
  • Green Bay Packers: With a 9-8 ATS record, the Packers have been inconsistent. They are 6-4 against the number as an underdog and have a tendency to push the OVER, particularly in away games.

These trends offer insights into how each team has performed relative to betting expectations throughout the season, which can be a useful guide for bettors considering wagers on this playoff game.

Team News and Injuries

Dallas Cowboys

The Cowboys have been a bit of an enigma this season, showing strong early performances and then facing some hiccups against serious contenders. They ended the season on a positive note, securing the No. 2 seed in the NFC.

Green Bay Packers

The Packers, led by first-year starter Jordan Love, have had a rollercoaster season but managed to secure a Wild Card berth. Their offense, 11th in scoring, and a defense that’s statistically in the back half of the league, make them an unpredictable opponent.

Key Injuries

Detailed information about specific player injuries and their impact on the game is crucial for a complete preview. However, current injury reports were not available at the moment. It’s recommended to check the latest updates closer to the game for any significant changes that might affect team performance.

This game is shaping up to be a fascinating contest between a historically dominant Packers team and a Cowboys team looking to capitalize on their strong season finish and home advantage. The betting odds and trends reflect the public and bookmakers’ expectations, but as always in the playoffs, anything can happen on the field.

Offense and Defense Statistics Overview

Packers vs Cowboys Offensive Comparison

  • Green Bay Packers
    • Points Scored: 22.88
    • Offensive Yards per Play: 5.5
    • Offensive Net Yards per Attempt: 6.3
    • Passing Touch Downs: 30
    • Rushing Touch Downs: 10
    • Team Turnover Lost: 17
  • Dallas Cowboys
    • Points Scored: 29.44
    • Offensive Yards per Play: 5.6
    • Offensive Net Yards per Attempt: 6.7
    • Passing Touch Downs: 32
    • Rushing Touch Downs: 13
    • Team Turnover Lost: 15

Packers vs Cowboys Defensive Comparison

  • Green Bay Packers
    • Points Allowed: 21.31
    • Opponents Yards per Play: 5.4
    • Opponents Net Yards per Attempt: 6.2
    • Passing Touch Downs Allowed: 21
    • Rushing Touch Downs Allowed: 15
    • Takeaways: 18
  • Dallas Cowboys
    • Points Allowed: 19.06
    • Opponents Yards per Play: 5.1
    • Opponents Net Yards per Attempt: 5.8
    • Passing Touch Downs Allowed: 20
    • Rushing Touch Downs Allowed: 14
    • Takeaways: 23

NFL Score Predictions

Packers vs Cowboys Prediction

Packers vs Cowboys Score Prediction

  • Green Bay Packers: Predicted Score – 20.65
  • Dallas Cowboys: Predicted Score – 31.72

NFL Spread Prediction

Spread Prediction for the Game

  • Green Bay Packers: Spread – +11.07
  • Dallas Cowboys: Spread – -11.07

Totals Prediction (NFL Over Under Prediction)

  • Predicted Total Score: 52.37

About My NFL Model

I have created this simple yet effective model using AI assistance and transformed the ideas into a user-friendly spreadsheet. The model focuses on score predictions and selecting bets with at least a 7-point difference between my numbers and sportsbook numbers. Using this basic betting model (which was made with ChatGPT’s assistance), I predict NFL game outcomes. My approach zeroes in on scoring predictions, targeting wagers with at least a 7-point deviation from bookmakers’ lines. In the current season (2023/24), this NFL betting strategy has resulted in 22 WINS 14 LOSS (61.11% win rate), yielding a profit of +6.31 units. 7.05% ROI; beating the closing line by 4.25% (vs no-vig pinnacle: +1.22%).

I am always selective in my betting, focusing on picks that align with our data-driven methods. I reveal my full betting strategies in betting masterclass.

Best NFL Bet for This Game

Based on the statistical analysis and the data-driven approach of my model, the best NFL bet for this game is a small value with the Cowboys at -7.

Final Words

The NFL stands as a prominent betting market, and contrary to the beliefs of numerous disillusioned sports enthusiasts who experience losses, it is not manipulated. Consequently, seeking professional guidance becomes crucial, as experts prioritize their own analysis.

When betting on NFL games, it’s crucial to always shop for the best lines across different sportsbooks. Take advantage of bonuses, sports betting contests, and promotions to maximize your betting experience. If you’re interested in learning more about analytical sports betting and smart wagering strategies, I invite you to sign up for a FREE BETTING COURSE here.

Don’t forget to check out my other Wild Card NFL Predictions this week and my betting strategies for more insights.

Remember, informed betting is smart betting!

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