Orioles vs Royals Prediction

Today’s Orioles vs Royals prediction gives the Orioles a 64.59% chance of winning, according to our MLB betting model. With projected odds of -182, the Orioles, led by Dean Kremer, offer good value at current odds of -135. Check for the best odds and place your bet smartly.


In today’s Orioles vs Royals prediction, we dive deep into the intricacies of the matchup between Dean Kremer of the Baltimore Orioles and Alec Marsh of the Kansas City Royals, set to take place at Kauffman Stadium on Friday, April 19, 2024. With the Orioles coming in as favorites, we’ll explore whether their odds of -135 represent true value against the Royals, who are pegged at +116.

Game Information

Teams and Odds

  • Away Team: Baltimore Orioles | Decimal Odds: 1.74 | US Odds: -135
  • Home Team: Kansas City Royals | Decimal Odds: 2.16 | US Odds: +116


  • Location: Kauffman Stadium

Note: Remember, odds can change, so it’s crucial to check for the best MLB odds across different sportsbooks.

Starting Pitcher Comparison

Dean Kremer (Baltimore Orioles)

  • Hand: Right-Handed Pitcher
  • ERA: 4.19
  • Advanced Stats:
  • SIERA: 4.38
  • xFIP: 4.32
  • K/9: 8.14
  • BB/9: 2.71
  • WHIP: 1.30
  • GB/FB Ratio: 1.03
  • xERA: Data not available

Alec Marsh (Kansas City Royals)

  • Hand: Right-Handed Pitcher
  • ERA: Not available
  • Advanced Stats:
  • SIERA: 4.68
  • xFIP: 4.93
  • K/9: 8.83
  • BB/9: 3.98
  • WHIP: 1.54
  • GB/FB Ratio: 0.70
  • xERA: Data not available

Bullpen Matchup

  • Baltimore Orioles Bullpen Rank: 4
  • Kansas City Royals Bullpen Rank: 29

The Orioles’ bullpen superiority is evident here, indicating a stronger late-game performance potential.

Orioles vs Royals Prediction

Offensive Matchup

  • Baltimore Orioles:
  • Overall Rank: 2
  • Rank vs Left-Handed Pitchers: 17
  • Rank vs Right-Handed Pitchers: 2
  • Kansas City Royals:
  • Overall Rank: 15
  • Rank vs Left-Handed Pitchers: 20
  • Rank vs Right-Handed Pitchers: 10

The Orioles demonstrate a powerful offensive lineup, especially against right-handed pitchers, which could play a crucial role in today’s game.

MLB Betting Model Analysis

Probability and Projected Odds

  • Baltimore Orioles (Dean Kremer):
  • Baseball Betting Model Probability: 64.59%
  • Model Projected US Odds: -182
  • Model Projected Decimal Odds: 1.55
  • Kansas City Royals (Alec Marsh):
  • Baseball Betting Model Probability: 35.36%
  • Model Projected US Odds: 183
  • Model Projected Decimal Odds: 2.83

Recommended MLB Pick

  • Pick: Baltimore Orioles
  • Pitcher: Dean Kremer
  • Odds: -135
  • Kelly Criterion Value: 1.67
  • Confidence: Good Value

Conclusion: Orioles vs Royals Prediction

As we conclude our Orioles vs Royals prediction, it’s clear that the Baltimore Orioles, led by Dean Kremer, hold a significant advantage both in terms of pitching and offensive capabilities. The recommended bet on the Orioles at -135 represents good value, reflecting their higher probability of securing a win according to our betting model.

Remember, use the Orioles vs Royals prediction as a guide, but always ensure to shop around for the best MLB baseball betting odds and take advantage of any available promotions. For those interested in refining their betting strategy, consider exploring available sports betting courses to enhance your analytical approach.

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