Orioles vs Royals Prediction

This Orioles vs Royals prediction, based on MLB betting models, gives the Orioles a 57% probability of winning with Corbin Burnes on the mound. Odds are set at -133 for the Orioles, indicating a slight edge against the Royals, who stand at a 43% chance with +133 odds.


As we look forward to the upcoming MLB showdown on April 20, 2024, between the Baltimore Orioles and the Kansas City Royals, sports bettors are eagerly analyzing the odds and matchups to make informed decisions. This “Orioles vs Royals Prediction” will delve into key aspects such as pitching performance, bullpen depth, and offensive capabilities, providing a comprehensive analysis to guide your betting strategies.

Game Overview: Setting the Scene at Kauffman Stadium

Key Details

  • Date: Saturday, April 20, 2024
  • Location: Kauffman Stadium, Home of the Kansas City Royals
  • Betting Odds: Orioles (-130), Royals (+110)

Starting Pitchers Analysis

Corbin Burnes (Baltimore Orioles)

  • Hand: Right
  • ERA: 3.27
  • Advanced Stats:
  • SIERA: 3.91
  • xFIP: 3.71
  • K/9: 9.32
  • BB/9: 2.9
  • WHIP: 1.05
  • GB/FB Ratio: 1.31

Cole Ragans (Kansas City Royals)

  • Hand: Left
  • ERA: 2.46
  • Advanced Stats:
  • SIERA: 3.43
  • xFIP: 3.21
  • K/9: 11.18
  • BB/9: 3.22
  • WHIP: 1.11
  • GB/FB Ratio: 1.30

Pitchers’ Performance Comparison

Corbin Burnes and Cole Ragans are set for a gripping pitchers’ duel, with Ragans boasting a superior strikeout rate but Burnes maintaining a more controlled game with fewer walks and a slightly better WHIP. Both pitchers show a comparable ability to manage ground and fly balls, indicating a potentially tight contest.

Team Performance and Matchup

Bullpen Strength

  • Orioles Bullpen Rank: 4
  • Royals Bullpen Rank: 29

The Orioles clearly have the upper hand when it comes to bullpen depth, ranking significantly higher than the Royals, which could be crucial in the later innings if the game remains close.

Offensive Matchup

  • Orioles Overall Rank: 2
  • Vs. Right-Handed Pitchers: 2
  • Vs. Left-Handed Pitchers: 16
  • Royals Overall Rank: 13
  • Vs. Right-Handed Pitchers: 10
  • Vs. Left-Handed Pitchers: 20

The Orioles dominate offensively, especially against right-handed pitchers, which aligns poorly for the Royals given their lower overall offensive rank and particularly weaker performance against right-handers.

Orioles vs Royals Prediction

MLB Betting Model Insights

Probabilities and Betting Odds

  • Orioles (Corbin Burnes): 57% probability, Projected Odds: -133 (Decimal: 1.75)
  • Royals (Cole Ragans): 43% probability, Projected Odds: +133 (Decimal: 2.33)

Recommended MLB Pick

MB MLB 728x90 Jpg
  • Side: Baltimore Orioles
  • Pitcher: Corbin Burnes
  • Odds: -130
  • Adjusted Kelly Criterion Calculated Value: 0.12
  • Confidence: Tiny Value

Conclusion: Final Thoughts on Orioles vs Royals Prediction

This Orioles vs Royals Prediction highlights a matchup with a slight edge to the Orioles, thanks to superior bullpen support and offensive prowess. While betting, it’s essential to continually check for the best MLB odds across sportsbooks and consider any changes that might affect these projections. Remember, using predictions like these should be part of a broader strategy that includes shopping for the best odds and utilizing bonuses and promotions during the MLB season. For those interested in refining their betting approach, consider exploring sports betting courses that focus on analytical and model-driven strategies.

Always remember, never blindly follow any predictions; use this analysis as a guide alongside your research and betting strategy.

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