Orioles vs Athletics Prediction

Our MLB betting model shows a 55.47% win probability for the Orioles and 44.51% for the Athletics. With projected odds of -125 for the Orioles and 125 for the Athletics, there’s solid value in betting on Oakland with Hogan Harris.


Game Info & Sportsbook Odds

As we look forward to the matchup between the Baltimore Orioles and the Oakland Athletics on Friday, July 5, 2024, baseball enthusiasts and bettors alike are eager for the Orioles vs Athletics prediction. The game, taking place at the Oakland Coliseum, promises to be an exciting one, with odds and starting pitchers that will be crucial in making informed betting decisions.

Decimal odds:

  • Baltimore Orioles: 1.57
  • Oakland Athletics: 2.60

US odds:

  • Baltimore Orioles: -175
  • Oakland Athletics: 160

It’s important to remember that odds can change, so always check the best MLB odds on different sportsbooks before placing your bets.

Starting Pitchers: Albert Suarez vs Hogan Harris

The Orioles vs Athletics prediction heavily relies on the performance of the starting pitchers. Baltimore Orioles’ right-handed pitcher Albert Suarez and Oakland Athletics’ left-handed pitcher Hogan Harris are set to face off in this game.

Baltimore Orioles: Albert Suarez

  • Hand: Right-Handed Pitcher
  • ERA: 2.74

Oakland Athletics: Hogan Harris

  • Hand: Left-Handed Pitcher
  • ERA: 2.9
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Advanced MLB Stats Comparison

A deeper dive into the advanced stats of both pitchers can offer more insights for the Orioles vs Athletics prediction:

Albert Suarez:

  • SIERA: 4.77
  • xFIP: 4.7
  • K/9: 7.11
  • BB/9: 3.47
  • WHIP: 1.36
  • GB/FB: 0.78
  • xERA:

Hogan Harris:

  • SIERA: 4.8
  • xFIP: 4.84
  • K/9: 6.68
  • BB/9: 3.19
  • WHIP: 1.32
  • GB/FB: 0.79
  • xERA:

Bullpen Matchup Analysis

The bullpen is another critical factor in the Orioles vs Athletics prediction. Here’s how the teams rank:

  • Baltimore Orioles: 20th
  • Oakland Athletics: 7th

The Athletics have a significant edge in bullpen performance, which could be a deciding factor in the later innings of the game.

Offensive (Hitting) Matchup

Offensive capabilities are crucial for making a solid Orioles vs Athletics prediction. Let’s compare the overall rank, rank versus left-handed pitchers, and rank versus right-handed pitchers:

Baltimore Orioles:

  • Overall Rank: 1
  • Rank vs Left-Handed Pitchers: 6
  • Rank vs Right-Handed Pitchers: 2

Oakland Athletics:

  • Overall Rank: 13
  • Rank vs Left-Handed Pitchers: 18
  • Rank vs Right-Handed Pitchers: 14

The Orioles hold the upper hand in offensive stats, particularly when facing right-handed pitchers, where they rank second overall.

Orioles vs Athletics Prediction

MLB Betting Model Probability for Orioles vs Athletics Prediction

Utilizing our advanced MLB betting model, we can forecast the probabilities for this game:

  • Baltimore Orioles (Albert Suarez): 55.47%
  • MLB Model Projected US odds: -125
  • MLB Model Projected Decimal odds: 1.80
  • Oakland Athletics (Hogan Harris): 44.51%
  • MLB Model Projected US odds: 125
  • MLB Model Projected Decimal odds: 2.25

Recommended MLB Pick Based on Our Betting Model Analysis

After thorough analysis, our MLB betting model suggests a value pick for this matchup:

  • Moneyline Value: Oakland Athletics
  • Pitcher: Hogan Harris
  • Odds: 160
  • Adjusted Kelly Criterion Calculated Value: 0.98
  • Confidence: Solid Value

This recommendation is based on our model’s projection that the Athletics offer significant value at the given odds.

Conclusion for Orioles vs Athletics Prediction

In conclusion, the Orioles vs Athletics prediction should be used as a guide to help inform your betting decisions. Never blindly follow anyone’s sports picks and always shop for the best MLB baseball betting odds. Take advantage of bonuses and promotions during the baseball betting season. If you’re looking to learn how to bet analytically with sports betting models, check out our sports betting courses for comprehensive guidance.

For final best MLB bets and first half picks, please check the “MLB Picks” page or get our MLB Betting Model in Google Sheets to learn how to calculate odds and make your own baseball betting projections. By leveraging these resources, you can bet like a pro and maximize your chances of success.

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