As MLB betting enthusiasts, we are constantly bombarded with information, advice, and opinions from various sources. With so much noise surrounding this popular pastime, it’s easy to fall prey to myths and misconceptions that can hinder our success in the long run.

In this article, we aim to debunk 10 of the most common MLB betting myths, clearing the air and providing you with a more accurate understanding of the betting landscape.

By dispelling these myths, we hope to empower you with the knowledge and confidence needed to make informed decisions when placing your bets. So, before you dive headfirst into the world of MLB betting, take a moment to read through this enlightening article and challenge the assumptions that may be holding you back.

Myth #1: “I Need to Be a Math Whiz to Succeed at Sports Betting.”

Truth: While possessing a high IQ and strong mathematical skills can be an advantage in sports betting, they don’t guarantee success. In fact, many highly intelligent individuals often fall into the trap of overanalyzing situations, doubting their own abilities, and procrastinating instead of taking decisive action.

Analytical thinking and calculated risks

In the world of sports betting, it’s crucial to strike a balance between analytical thinking and taking calculated risks. Hard work, perseverance, and the willingness to take risks when opportunities arise are often more important factors in achieving long-term success.

Remember, it’s not only about possessing the knowledge but also having the ability to apply it effectively and adapt to ever-changing circumstances in the betting landscape.

Myth #2: “The Best Sports Bettors Have Magical Powers.”

Truth: The notion that successful sports bettors possess some sort of magical powers or innate abilities is nothing more than a fallacy. In reality, the key ingredients to success in sports betting are knowledge, dedication, skills, and hard work.

The best sports bettors are those who consistently invest time and effort into learning the ins and outs of their chosen sport, understanding the nuances of betting markets, and developing strategies to identify value in the odds.

This requires a great deal of dedication and persistence, as well as a willingness to adapt and refine one’s approach based on experience and new information. Not some magical power.

Discipline and bankroll management

Moreover, successful bettors understand the importance of discipline, both in terms of bankroll management and the ability to maintain a level-headed approach in the face of inevitable ups and downs. They recognize that long-term success is not achieved by chasing losses or succumbing to emotional decision-making, but rather by sticking to a well-thought-out plan and continually striving for improvement.

In summary, the notion of magical powers as a requirement for success in sports betting is a myth. It is the combination of knowledge, dedication, skills, and hard work, coupled with the discipline to remain focused and resilient, that truly sets the best sports bettors apart from the rest.

Myth #3: “Loving Baseball Guarantees Profits.”

Truth: While a deep passion for baseball can certainly enhance your enjoyment of the sport and potentially motivate you to learn more about it, love for the game alone does not guarantee profits when it comes to sports betting.

To achieve success in the betting world, you must develop the ability to analyze games objectively, identify +EV (positive expected value) opportunities, and consistently beat the closing line. Passion for baseball is a fantastic starting point, but it must be accompanied by the development and application of effective betting strategies.

A successful bettor understands that their love for baseball must be complemented by a comprehensive knowledge of the sport, including player performance, team dynamics, and situational factors that may influence the outcome of games. This requires ongoing research, critical thinking, and the ability to separate one’s emotions from the decision-making process.

Love for MLB is not enough

In conclusion, while a love for baseball can be a valuable asset in sports betting, it is not enough to guarantee profits on its own.

To truly succeed, bettors must pair their passion for the game with a solid foundation of knowledge, analytical skills, and disciplined betting strategies. By doing so, they can maximize their chances of enjoying long-term success and profitability in the world of sports betting.

Myth #4: “Following Sports Picks Will Make Me Rich.”

Truth: The belief that simply following sports picks will lead to wealth is a misguided notion. Relying solely on someone else’s predictions without developing your own analytical skills and betting strategies is unlikely to result in consistent profits.

When you depend on others’ picks, you’re often late to the game, as the most advantageous betting opportunities may have already passed. It’s important to remember that only the top 5% of bettors are consistently successful, and they typically achieve this by honing their own expertise and making informed decisions.

Following is not winning mentality

Adopting a follower’s mentality in sports betting, as well as in life, can impede your progress and limit your success. When you consistently defer to the opinions of others, you fail to develop the confidence, knowledge, and skills required to make well-informed decisions. Over time, this can lead to a cycle of dependence that may prevent you from reaching your full potential.

In summary, the key to success in sports betting (and life in general) lies in taking initiative, cultivating your skills, and forging your own path. Embracing a proactive mindset and learning to trust your judgment will not only increase your chances of success in betting but also help you grow and thrive in all aspects of life.

Myth #5: “Sports Betting Is a Passive Income like any other investment.”

Truth: Contrary to the popular belief that sports betting is a passive income source akin to other investments, it actually demands active participation, ongoing research, and continuous adjustments to your strategies. Sports betting is not a ‘set it and forget it’ endeavor that generates profits while you sleep. Instead, it requires commitment, diligence, and a willingness to make informed decisions based on current information.

Unlike passive investments, you cannot simply hand over your money to a handicapper, tout, or any other sharp bettor to manage your bets for you. Successful bettors who consistently win often face limitations imposed by sportsbooks on their betting stakes, and as a result, they focus on maximizing their own profits rather than managing other people’s bets.

Nobody can do it for you

In sports betting, you must take responsibility for placing your own bets, as nobody else can do it for you. This involves staying updated on current odds, acting quickly to take advantage of profitable opportunities, and adapting your strategies as needed. Additionally, the odds and lines can vary between sportsbooks, requiring you to be vigilant in identifying the best value for your bets.

In summary, while sports betting can indeed be a lucrative endeavor, it is not a passive income source suitable for those who seek to avoid active involvement in their investments. Success in sports betting demands consistent effort, attention to detail, and a strong work ethic.

It is not a venture for the lazy or those unwilling to put in the necessary time and energy to make informed decisions and stay ahead of the game.

Myth #6: “Picking Winners Is All That Matters; Odds Are Not Important.”

Truth: Contrary to the widespread misconception that simply picking winners is the key to success in sports betting, the reality is that odds and value play a pivotal role in determining your long-term profitability. Focusing solely on selecting winners without considering the odds and value of bets can lead to misguided decisions and undermine your chances of consistent success.

Value is the king

In sports betting, understanding the concept of value and identifying value bets is essential for making informed choices that can yield long-term profits. A value bet is one where the odds offered by the bookmaker are greater than the true probability of the outcome occurring.

By consistently placing value bets, you can exploit discrepancies between the bookmaker’s odds and the actual likelihood of an event happening, thereby improving your chances of making a profit over time.

Moreover, odds not only represent the probability of a particular outcome but also determine the potential payout for a winning bet. By carefully evaluating the odds and comparing them across different sportsbooks, you can identify opportunities that offer better returns on your investment.

This approach enables you to maximize your profits and minimize your losses in the long run.

In conclusion, picking winners is not important in sports betting, and it’s not a factor that guarantees success. A comprehensive understanding of odds, value, and effective betting strategies is indispensable for making intelligent decisions that can lead to sustained profitability. Focusing on these aspects will equip you with the knowledge and skills necessary to navigate the complex world of sports betting and improve your overall performance.

Myth #7: “Winning Percentage Is the Most Important Factor.”

Truth: Contrary to popular belief, the number of bets you win or your winning percentage is not the sole determinant of long-term profitability in sports betting. In fact, focusing solely on your winning percentage can be misleading and lead you to overlook other crucial factors such as value, odds, and bankroll management. Consider these two examples:

.60 win rate (odds -170) = -4.6 units

.47 win rate (odds +130) = +8.1 units

As demonstrated by these examples, a higher winning percentage does not always translate to profits. The key to success in sports betting lies in identifying and exploiting value bets, as well as managing your bankroll effectively.


In conclusion, while having a high winning percentage might seem appealing, it’s crucial to recognize that it does not guarantee profits in sports betting.

A more holistic approach that encompasses value, odds, and bankroll management is vital for achieving consistent success and building a sustainable sports betting career. So, remember to prioritize finding +EV bets and effectively managing your bankroll, rather than merely striving for a high win rate.

Myth #8: “Statistics Are Not Important in MLB Betting.”

Truth: Contrary to this myth, Major League Baseball (MLB) is a sport where statistics play a vital role in understanding teams’ and players’ performances. Sports betting, in general, is heavily reliant on the analysis and interpretation of data and statistics to make well-informed decisions that maximize your chances of success.

In MLB, various statistical categories such as batting average, on-base percentage, slugging percentage, earned run average, and countless others offer invaluable insights into the strengths and weaknesses of teams and individual players. These metrics can help bettors predict the outcome of games more accurately, identify value bets, and ultimately increase their overall profitability.

Relevant statistics is the key

Disregarding the importance of statistics in MLB betting can lead to uninformed decision-making, resulting in losses and disappointment. To improve your chances of success in MLB betting, it’s crucial to familiarize yourself with the most relevant statistics, learn how to interpret them, and apply this knowledge to your betting strategies.

This will not only help you make more accurate predictions but also enable you to spot value bets and make more informed decisions in your sports betting endeavors.

In conclusion, statistics are an essential aspect of MLB betting, and understanding their importance is key to long-term success. By incorporating statistics into your betting strategies and using them to analyze and predict game outcomes, you’ll be better equipped to navigate the world of MLB betting and maximize your profits over time.

Myth #9: “Everyone Is Winning with Their MLB Picks.”

Truth: It’s natural to be influenced by the vocal minority who frequently boast about their winning picks and successful betting streaks. This can create a distorted perception of reality, making it seem like everyone is consistently winning with their picks. However, it’s important to keep in mind that those who experience losses are often less vocal about their betting outcomes, leading to an unbalanced representation of the true picture.

This phenomenon is further exacerbated by what’s known as survivorship bias, where we tend to pay more attention to the success stories, while those who fail or experience bad luck fade into the background. As a result, we might overestimate the frequency of success in sports betting and underestimate the role of chance or luck in short-term outcomes.

Unrealistic expectations can lead to disappointment in the long run

Moreover, short-term results can be misleading and focusing on them may lead to unrealistic expectations and disappointment in the long run. It’s crucial to understand that sports betting involves both skill and luck, and even the most experienced bettors will face losing streaks. Instead of getting caught up in the hype and chasing after short-term wins, it’s essential to develop a solid betting strategy, maintain discipline, and focus on long-term performance and profitability.

In conclusion, it’s important not to be swayed by the vocal minority who boast about their winning picks or short-term successes. Recognize that sports betting is a challenging endeavor that requires skill, patience, and persistence. By focusing on developing your own betting strategies and keeping a long-term perspective, you’ll be better prepared to navigate the world of sports betting and improve your overall chances of success.

Myth #10: “Baseball Is the Hardest Sport to Bet On.”

When it comes to sports betting, many people believe another MLB betting myth, that baseball is the most challenging sport to bet on. However, this is a common misconception. While it’s true that betting on baseball requires a certain level of dedication and effort, it’s not necessarily more difficult than betting on other sports.

In fact, the same principle applies to all aspects of life. Whether it’s business, work, education, or athletic pursuits, success requires a serious and dedicated approach. Without putting in the necessary effort, victory will remain out of reach.

Sports betting is not based solely on luck or chance

It’s important to recognize that success in sports betting is not based solely on luck or chance. It requires a deep understanding of the game, as well as a commitment to research and analysis. By taking the time to study the data and identify valuable opportunities, bettors can increase their chances of long-term profits.

So, while betting on baseball may present some unique challenges, it’s certainly not the most difficult sport to bet on. With the right approach and mindset, anyone can become a successful sports bettor, regardless of the sport they choose to focus on.


Now that we’ve debunked these myths, you’re better equipped to approach MLB betting with a realistic mindset. Stay focused on refining your strategies and making informed decisions, and you’ll be well on your way to a successful MLB betting career.

Remember that success in sports betting is not about luck or following others blindly but requires dedication, knowledge, and discipline.

You can start your journey towards profitable MLB betting by signing up for my free betting course or purchasing my MLB betting model. Start taking control of your bets today and maximize your long-term profits.

Access my free content and join exclusive, private email circle for strategic advice, personal stories, and expert tips.

No spam. Betting value only.