Mets vs Giants Prediction April 24

In the upcoming Mets vs Giants game, our MLB betting model shows a close match with the Mets at a slight advantage, holding a 50.34% win probability. This suggests a good value bet on the Mets with +125 odds, aligning with our model’s refined predictions for this tight contest.


In this highly anticipated matchup between the New York Mets and the San Francisco Giants, we delve deep into the factors that could sway the outcome. This Mets vs Giants prediction considers not just the starting pitchers, Sean Manaea and Blake Snell, but also looks at bullpen strength, offensive matchups, and advanced statistical insights to provide a thorough analysis for those betting on MLB games.

Game Details and Betting Odds

Oracle Park Showdown: A Closer Look

  • Date: Wednesday, April 24, 2024
  • Venue: Oracle Park, San Francisco
  • Betting Odds:
  • New York Mets: Decimal odds – 2.25, US odds +125
  • San Francisco Giants: Decimal odds – 1.65, US odds -154
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Starting Pitchers: Manaea vs Snell

Sean Manaea (New York Mets)

  • Hand: Left
  • ERA: 4.12
  • Advanced Stats:
  • SIERA: 4.25
  • xFIP: 4.46
  • K/9: 9.61
  • BB/9: 4.58
  • WHIP: 1.37
  • GB/FB: 0.65
  • xERA: 5.74

Blake Snell (San Francisco Giants)

  • Hand: Left
  • ERA: 11.57
  • Advanced Stats:
  • SIERA: 3.96
  • xFIP: 3.69
  • K/9: 9.26
  • BB/9: 3.86
  • WHIP: 1.97
  • GB/FB: 1.82
  • xERA: 4.10

Analytical Overview

Bullpen Matchup

  • New York Mets: Ranked #1
  • San Francisco Giants: Ranked #8

Offensive Comparison

Overall Hitting Power

  • New York Mets: Overall rank #11
  • Versus Left-Handed Pitchers: Rank #8
  • Versus Right-Handed Pitchers: Rank #14
  • San Francisco Giants: Overall rank #15
  • Versus Left-Handed Pitchers: Rank #14
  • Versus Right-Handed Pitchers: Rank #16
Mets vs Giants Prediction

Betting Model Insights

Probability Analysis

  • New York Mets (Sean Manaea): 50.34% chance of winning
  • Projected US odds: -101
  • Projected Decimal odds: 1.99
  • San Francisco Giants (Blake Snell): 49.66% chance of winning
  • Projected US odds: 101
  • Projected Decimal odds: 2.01

Recommended MLB Pick

  • Free MLB Pick: New York Mets to win
  • Pitcher: Sean Manaea
  • Odds: +125
  • Value: Good, with an Adjusted Kelly Criterion value of 1.06

Conclusion: Making Your Mets vs Giants Prediction

In the dynamic world of MLB betting, a well-informed decision is paramount. While the Mets vs Giants prediction highlights a slight edge for the Mets, it’s essential to continually check for the best odds across sportsbooks. Use these insights as guidance but complement them with your analysis. For those looking to deepen their understanding of sports betting strategies, consider exploring sports betting courses and models to refine your approach.

Final Note: Always shop around for the best MLB odds and take advantage of promotions during the season. Never blindly follow betting picks, and always strive for an analytical approach to maximize your betting success.

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