Mets vs Braves Prediction

Our MLB betting model gives the Atlanta Braves a 65.74% chance to win against the New York Mets, with projected odds at -192. Despite the Mets’ underdog status at a 34.23% probability and +192 odds, betting insights favor the Braves in this anticipated showdown on April 8, 2024.


In the heart of the MLB season, every game becomes a canvas for legendary matchups and betting opportunities. The upcoming game on Monday, April 8, 2024, between the New York Mets and the Atlanta Braves at Truist Park, is no exception. With Julio Teheran taking the mound for the Mets and Charlie Morton for the Braves, this Mets vs Braves prediction article delves into a detailed analysis, helping bettors and fans alike to gauge where the value lies.

Game Information & Sportsbook Odds

Date: Monday, April 8, 2024
Location: Truist Park, Atlanta
Teams: New York Mets (Away) vs Atlanta Braves (Home)
Odds: Mets +185 | Braves -227
Starting Pitchers: Julio Teheran (Mets) vs Charlie Morton (Braves)

Remember, odds can fluctuate, so it’s always wise to check multiple sportsbooks for the best MLB odds before placing any bets.

Starting Pitcher Analysis

Julio Teheran (New York Mets)

  • Hand: Right
  • ERA: 4.74
  • SIERA: 4.61
  • xFIP: 4.71
  • K/9: 6.32
  • BB/9: 1.58
  • WHIP: 1.13
  • GB/FB: 0.98

Charlie Morton (Atlanta Braves)

  • Hand: Right
  • ERA: 3.64
  • SIERA: 4.44
  • xFIP: 4.27
  • K/9: 10.08
  • BB/9: 4.57
  • WHIP: 1.43
  • GB/FB: 1.26
  • xERA: 4.64

Bullpen Matchup

  • New York Mets: Ranked 28th
  • Atlanta Braves: Ranked 2nd

Offensive (Hitting) Matchup

  • New York Mets: Overall Rank 23 | Rank vs LHP 14 | Rank vs RHP 12
  • Atlanta Braves: Overall Rank 1 | Rank vs LHP 6 | Rank vs RHP 1
Mets vs Braves Prediction

MLB Betting Model Prediction

  • New York Mets (Julio Teheran): Probability 34.23% | Projected US odds +192 | Projected Decimal odds 2.92
  • Atlanta Braves (Charlie Morton): Probability 65.74% | Projected US odds -192 | Projected Decimal odds 1.52

Recommended MLB Pick

Moneyline value lies and this is also a free recommended MLB PICK:

  • Side: New York Mets
  • Pitcher: Julio Teheran
  • Odds: +185
  • Adjusted Kelly Criterion Calculated value: -0.13
  • Confidence: No value, just bold opinion

Conclusion: Mets vs Braves Prediction

For this Mets vs Braves prediction, the analytical data suggests a strong leaning towards the Atlanta Braves, given their dominant offense and bullpen ranking. However, the unpredictability of baseball always leaves room for surprises, making the New York Mets an interesting underdog pick, albeit with a cautionary note due to the calculated negative value in betting terms.

As we wrap up this analysis, remember that this prediction should serve as one of many tools in your betting arsenal. Always shop for the best MLB baseball betting odds, and take advantage of bonuses and promotions during the Ice Baseball Betting Season. For those keen on refining their betting strategies with analytical models, consider diving into sports betting courses that offer insights on making projections and understanding the dynamics of value betting.

Remember, the beauty of sports betting lies in the blend of knowledge, strategy, and the thrilling unpredictability of the game itself. Use this Mets vs Braves prediction as a guide, but always trust your analysis and intuition.

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