MAYRA BUENO SILVA vs MACY CHIASSON UFC Prediction

For the Mayra Bueno Silva vs Macy Chiasson UFC prediction, Eric’s UFC betting model gives Silva a 64.13% win probability based on the ELO model and 50.73% with logistic regression. Silva’s higher striking accuracy and submission average make her a strong bet for this fight.


When it comes to high-stakes UFC matchups, the fight between Mayra Bueno Silva and Macy Chiasson is one that has captured the attention of MMA enthusiasts and bettors alike. In this post, we’ll delve deep into the Mayra Bueno Silva vs Macy Chiasson UFC prediction, offering a comprehensive analysis based on advanced UFC betting models. This prediction is exclusively crafted by Eric, an esteemed member of the Underdog Chance Sports Betting Masterclass, who has developed a sophisticated UFC betting model to share expert predictions and betting picks for this exciting fight.

Game Info & Sportsbook Odds

  • Date: Saturday, June 29, 2024
  • Away Team: Mayra Bueno Silva
  • Home Team: Macy Chiasson

Sportsbook Odds

  • Mayra Bueno Silva: Decimal Odds – 2.00 | US Odds – 100
  • Macy Chiasson: Decimal Odds – 1.93 | US Odds – -108

Note: Odds are subject to change. Always shop around different sportsbooks for the best UFC odds.

Comparing Fighter Stats

To make an informed Mayra Bueno Silva vs Macy Chiasson UFC prediction, it is crucial to compare the key statistics of both fighters. Here’s a detailed look at their performance metrics:

Mayra Bueno Silva

  • Significant Strikes Landed per Minute: 3.84
  • Striking Accuracy: 57%
  • Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute: 4.86
  • Striking Defense: 53%
  • Takedown Average per 15 minutes: 0.68
  • Takedown Accuracy: 38%
  • Takedown Defense: 68%
  • Submission Average per 15 minutes: 1.6
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Macy Chiasson

  • Significant Strikes Landed per Minute: 3.53
  • Striking Accuracy: 44%
  • Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute: 2.53
  • Striking Defense: 46%
  • Takedown Average per 15 minutes: 0.46
  • Takedown Accuracy: 37%
  • Takedown Defense: 62%
  • Submission Average per 15 minutes: 0.5

These statistics highlight that Mayra Bueno Silva has a higher output in terms of strikes landed and accuracy but also absorbs more strikes compared to Macy Chiasson. Meanwhile, Chiasson showcases better striking defense and absorbs fewer strikes, which could play a critical role in the fight dynamics.

MAYRA BUENO SILVA vs MACY CHIASSON UFC Prediction

ELO Rating and Betting Model Analysis

ELO Rating

  • Mayra Bueno Silva: 1553.24
  • Macy Chiasson: 1452.33

The ELO rating system, widely used in competitive sports, rates Mayra Bueno Silva higher, indicating a superior overall skill level and performance history compared to Macy Chiasson.

UFC Betting Model Predictions

Eric’s UFC betting model combines both the ELO rating and logistic regression models to predict fight outcomes. Here are the probabilities based on his analysis:

  • Mayra Bueno Silva:
  • ELO UFC Betting Model Probability: 64.13%
  • Logistic Regression UFC Betting Model Probability: 50.73%
  • Macy Chiasson:
  • ELO UFC Betting Model Probability: 35.87%
  • Logistic Regression UFC Betting Model Probability: 49.27%

These probabilities suggest a stronger chance of victory for Mayra Bueno Silva, especially when considering the ELO model. Eric’s approach emphasizes betting when both models align, particularly when the odds range between 1.50 and 3.0 (US odds -200 and +200).

Recommended UFC Fight Pick

Based on Eric’s comprehensive Mayra Bueno Silva vs Macy Chiasson UFC prediction using his UFC fight predictions betting model, the recommended pick is:

  • Mayra Bueno Silva to win

This recommendation leverages the higher probability of victory for Silva as indicated by both the ELO and logistic regression models, alongside her superior striking metrics.

Conclusion: MAYRA BUENO SILVA vs MACY CHIASSON UFC Prediction

In conclusion, the Mayra Bueno Silva vs Macy Chiasson UFC prediction serves as an essential guide for bettors looking to make informed decisions. However, it’s crucial never to blindly follow anyone’s sports picks. For final and accurate UFC picks, learning to use statistics in betting and staying updated with the latest MMA news is vital. Always shop for the best UFC betting odds and take advantage of bonuses and promotions when placing bets.

For those interested in betting like a pro, consider enrolling in sports betting courses that teach you how to build and use betting models effectively. This knowledge will empower you to become a long-term winner in the world of sports betting.

Remember, the key to success in UFC betting lies in thorough research, understanding statistical models, and making educated bets based on comprehensive data analysis.

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