Marlins vs Dodgers Prediction

Our MLB betting model for the Marlins vs. Dodgers game predicts a strong 73.09% win probability for the Dodgers, led by Gavin Stone, against the Marlins and Ryan Weathers. With superior offense and solid pitching, the Dodgers are a favorable moneyline pick for this Wednesday’s matchup.


Marlins vs Dodgers Prediction

The highly anticipated showdown between the Miami Marlins and Los Angeles Dodgers at Dodger Stadium on Wednesday, May 8, 2024, promises exciting baseball action. With left-handed Ryan Weathers on the mound for the Marlins and right-handed Gavin Stone pitching for the Dodgers, this matchup is crucial for both teams’ aspirations. Our analysis will guide you through the Marlins vs Dodgers prediction, highlighting key stats and betting angles.

Game Information & Sportsbook Odds

  • Date: Wednesday, May 8, 2024
  • Ballpark: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
  • Odds:
  • Miami Marlins: 3.25 (Decimal), +225 (US odds)
  • Los Angeles Dodgers: 1.38 (Decimal), -263 (US odds)

Odds fluctuate, so it’s best to compare lines across multiple sportsbooks for the most favorable wagers.

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Starting Pitchers Breakdown

Ryan Weathers (Miami Marlins)

  • Handedness: Left
  • ERA: 4.54
  • Advanced Stats:
  • SIERA: 4.43
  • xFIP: 4.81
  • K/9: 7.82
  • BB/9: 3.79
  • WHIP: 1.37
  • GB/FB: 1.25
  • xERA: 5.07

Gavin Stone (Los Angeles Dodgers)

  • Handedness: Right
  • ERA: 4.06
  • Advanced Stats:
  • SIERA: 4.75
  • xFIP: 4.53
  • K/9: 6.68
  • BB/9: 3.77
  • WHIP: 1.35
  • GB/FB: 1.14
  • xERA: 4.04

Pitching Analysis:
Both pitchers have displayed their strengths and challenges this season. Weathers has a higher strikeout rate but a slightly higher walk rate than Stone. Stone’s xERA indicates better expected performance than Weathers, which could offer the Dodgers an edge.

Bullpen Matchup

  • Miami Marlins Bullpen Rank: 24th
  • Los Angeles Dodgers Bullpen Rank: 20th

The Dodgers have a statistically better bullpen, though neither team’s relief corps ranks near the top of the league.

Offensive (Hitting) Matchup

  • Miami Marlins:
  • Overall Rank: 29th
  • vs. Left-Handed Pitchers: 29th
  • vs. Right-Handed Pitchers: 26th
  • Los Angeles Dodgers:
  • Overall Rank: 1st
  • vs. Left-Handed Pitchers: 7th
  • vs. Right-Handed Pitchers: 1st

The Dodgers possess the league’s top offense, and this superiority extends to their performance against both left and right-handed pitchers. The Marlins, however, struggle offensively, especially against lefties like Stone.

Marlins vs Dodgers Prediction

MLB Betting Model Prediction

  • Miami Marlins (Ryan Weathers): 26.88% win probability
  • Projected Odds: +272 (US odds), 3.72 (Decimal odds)
  • Los Angeles Dodgers (Gavin Stone): 73.09% win probability
  • Projected Odds: -272 (US odds), 1.37 (Decimal odds)

Our MLB model overwhelmingly favors the Dodgers in this matchup.

Recommended MLB Pick

Moneyline Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers (Gavin Stone) at -263 (US odds)

Though the value is minimal, the Dodgers present a safer pick due to their superior offense, pitching, and overall consistency.

Conclusion: Marlins vs Dodgers Prediction

The Marlins vs Dodgers prediction shows a clear advantage for the Dodgers, with their potent offense and reliable pitching staff. Make sure to compare odds across sportsbooks and utilize bonuses for the best betting opportunities during the MLB season. For more insights and strategies on how to bet like a pro, explore my sports betting courses or visit the MLB Picks page for expert analysis.

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