Marlins vs Diamondbacks Prediction

For the Marlins vs Diamondbacks prediction on May 24, 2024, our MLB betting model gives the Diamondbacks a 61.82% probability of winning with Zac Gallen on the mound, compared to the Marlins’ 38.18% with Braxton Garrett pitching. Check different sportsbooks for the best odds and bet wisely.


As we approach the highly anticipated game between the Miami Marlins and the Arizona Diamondbacks, all eyes are on the pitching showdown set to take place on Friday, May 24, 2024. This Marlins vs Diamondbacks prediction will provide an in-depth analysis of the matchup, focusing on key statistics, betting odds, and expert insights. With Braxton Garrett taking the mound for the Marlins and Zac Gallen pitching for the Diamondbacks, fans and bettors alike are eager to see how these pitchers will perform. Our comprehensive analysis will help you make an informed decision on where to place your bets, ensuring you have the edge in this exciting MLB clash.

Game Info & Sportsbook Odds

  • Date: Friday, May 24, 2024
  • Ballpark: Chase Field
TeamDecimal OddsUS Odds
Miami Marlins2.67+167
Arizona Diamondbacks1.55-182

Note: Odds can change. Always check the best MLB odds on different sportsbooks.

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Starting Pitchers Comparison

Miami Marlins: Braxton Garrett

  • Hand: Left Handed
  • ERA: 10.24
  • SIERA: 2.95
  • xFIP: 3.33
  • K/9: 12.1
  • BB/9: 2.79
  • WHIP: 1.55
  • GB/FB: 2.14
  • xERA: 4.05

Arizona Diamondbacks: Zac Gallen

  • Hand: Right Handed
  • ERA: 3.02
  • SIERA: 3.32
  • xFIP: 3.22
  • K/9: 9.77
  • BB/9: 2.49
  • WHIP: 1.11
  • GB/FB: 1.12
  • xERA: 3.6

Zac Gallen has a significantly better ERA at 3.02 compared to Braxton Garrett’s 10.24. Gallen also exhibits superior control and effectiveness with a lower WHIP (1.11 vs. 1.55) and fewer walks per nine innings (2.49 vs. 2.79). Garrett, however, demonstrates strong strikeout capability with a K/9 of 12.1 compared to Gallen’s 9.77.

Bullpen Matchup

  • Miami Marlins: Ranked 22nd
  • Arizona Diamondbacks: Ranked 27th

Both teams have lower-ranked bullpens, but the Marlins have a slight edge over the Diamondbacks.

Offensive (Hitting) Matchup

  • Overall Rank:
  • Miami Marlins: 29
  • Arizona Diamondbacks: 12
  • Rank vs. Left-Handed Pitchers:
  • Miami Marlins: 29
  • Arizona Diamondbacks: 3
  • Rank vs. Right-Handed Pitchers:
  • Miami Marlins: 26
  • Arizona Diamondbacks: 24

The Diamondbacks have a significant offensive advantage overall and particularly against left-handed pitchers, where they are ranked 3rd compared to the Marlins’ 29th.

Betting Model Probability for Marlins vs Diamondbacks Prediction

  • Miami Marlins (Braxton Garrett):
  • Probability: 38.18%
  • Projected US Odds: +162
  • Projected Decimal Odds: 2.62
  • Arizona Diamondbacks (Zac Gallen):
  • Probability: 61.82%
  • Projected US Odds: -162
  • Projected Decimal Odds: 1.62
Marlins vs Diamondbacks Prediction

Recommended MLB Pick

  • Side: Miami Marlins
  • Pitcher: Braxton Garrett
  • Odds: +167
  • Adjusted Kelly Criterion Calculated Value: 0.12
  • Confidence: Tiny value

While the betting model shows a slight value on the Marlins, it’s important to consider all factors, including pitcher performance, bullpen rankings, and offensive matchups.

Conclusion for Marlins vs Diamondbacks Prediction

Use this Marlins vs Diamondbacks prediction to inform your betting decisions, but always shop for the best MLB betting odds and take advantage of bonuses and promotions. For comprehensive betting strategies and to learn how to bet like a pro, check out my sports betting courses and the MLB Betting Model available in Google Sheets.

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