Mariners vs Yankees Prediction

Our MLB betting model favors the Yankees with a 61.19% win probability against the Mariners on May 22, 2024. With Nestor Cortes pitching, the projected odds are -158. Bet on the Yankees for a confident pick, but always shop for the best odds and consider current form and stats.


Welcome to our detailed analysis and prediction for the Mariners vs Yankees game on Wednesday, May 22, 2024. This exciting matchup features Bryce Miller of the Seattle Mariners going head-to-head with Nestor Cortes of the New York Yankees. Our focused keyword for this article is Mariners vs Yankees Prediction, and we’ll be using it throughout to ensure this post is SEO-optimized.

Game Information & Sportsbook Odds

Decimal OddsUS OddsBallpark
Away Team: Seattle Mariners2.20120
Home Team: New York Yankees1.67-149Yankee Stadium

Note: Odds can change. Always check the best MLB odds on different sportsbooks.

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Starting Pitchers Breakdown

Seattle Mariners: Bryce Miller

Bryce Miller, a right-handed pitcher for the Mariners, brings a solid ERA of 3.08 into this matchup. Let’s delve into his advanced MLB stats:

  • SIERA: 3.67
  • xFIP: 3.71
  • K/9: 8.89
  • BB/9: 2.73
  • WHIP: 0.99
  • GB/FB: 0.85
  • xERA: 4.23

Miller’s stats indicate a reliable pitcher with a commendable strikeout rate and control, reflected by his low WHIP and BB/9 ratios.

New York Yankees: Nestor Cortes

Nestor Cortes, the left-handed pitcher for the Yankees, holds an ERA of 3.56. His advanced MLB stats are as follows:

  • SIERA: 3.81
  • xFIP: 4.02
  • K/9: 8.46
  • BB/9: 1.78
  • WHIP: 1.05
  • GB/FB: 0.56
  • xERA: 2.7

Cortes demonstrates excellent control with a lower BB/9 and a solid K/9 rate, though his WHIP is slightly higher compared to Miller.

Bullpen Matchup

Seattle Mariners Bullpen

Rank: 14

New York Yankees Bullpen

Rank: 19

The Mariners’ bullpen ranks slightly higher, suggesting they may have a slight edge in relief pitching.

Offensive (Hitting) Matchup

Seattle Mariners

  • Overall Rank: 3
  • Rank vs Left Handed Pitchers: 13
  • Rank vs Right Handed Pitchers: 20

New York Yankees

  • Overall Rank: 30
  • Rank vs Left Handed Pitchers: 14
  • Rank vs Right Handed Pitchers: 1

The Yankees have struggled overall but excel against right-handed pitchers, making them a formidable opponent for Miller.

Mariners vs Yankees Prediction

MLB Betting Model Probability

Probability and Projected Odds

  • Seattle Mariners (Bryce Miller): 38.81% | MLB Model Projected US Odds: 158 | MLB Model Projected Decimal Odds: 2.58
  • New York Yankees (Nestor Cortes): 61.19% | MLB Model Projected US Odds: -158 | MLB Model Projected Decimal Odds: 1.63

Our betting model shows a higher probability for the Yankees winning this matchup.

Recommended MLB Pick

Based on our MLB Betting Model Analysis:

  • Side: New York Yankees
  • Pitcher: Nestor Cortes
  • Odds: -149
  • Adjusted Kelly Criterion Calculated Value: 0.33
  • Confidence: Tiny value

We recommend betting on the Yankees for this game.

Note: For final best MLB bets and first-half picks, please check the “MLB Picks” page or get my MLB Betting Model in Google Sheets to learn how to calculate odds and make your own baseball betting projections.

Conclusion: Mariners vs Yankees Prediction

In conclusion, our Mariners vs Yankees prediction favors the Yankees, backed by our betting model’s analysis. Use this prediction to guide your betting decisions, but always remember to shop for the best MLB betting odds and take advantage of bonuses and promotions. If you want to learn how to bet analytically with sports betting models, check out our sports betting courses.

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