Maple Leafs vs Panthers Prediction

In our Maple Leafs vs Panthers prediction, the NHL betting model gives the Florida Panthers a 58.90% win probability. This reflects their strong defense and goaltending, potentially outweighing the Maple Leafs’ offensive threats. Check updated odds before betting.


In this detailed analysis for the upcoming NHL game, we dive into the “Maple Leafs vs Panthers prediction”, assessing the odds and statistics to offer comprehensive betting insights. As the Toronto Maple Leafs visit the Florida Panthers, both teams are poised to deliver an intense showdown. Let’s break down the game information, odds, and stats to shape our prediction.

Game Overview

Date and Venue

  • Date: April 16, 2024
  • Venue: Home of the Florida Panthers

Sportsbook Odds

  • Toronto Maple Leafs: Decimal Odds – 2.10 | US Odds – +110
  • Florida Panthers: Decimal Odds – 1.77 | US Odds – -130

Note: Odds are subject to change. Always check the latest odds at trusted bookmakers like Bovada or BetOnline.

Statistical Analysis

High Danger Chances per 60 Minutes (HDCF/60)

  • Toronto Maple Leafs: Rank 3rd
  • Florida Panthers: Rank 10th

Offensive and Defensive Matchup

Toronto Maple Leafs

  • Goals For per 60 minutes (GF/60): 3.68
  • Shots For per 60 minutes (SF/60): 31.37
  • Goals Against per 60 minutes (GA/60): 3.09
  • Shots Against per 60 minutes (SA/60): 28.96

Florida Panthers

  • Goals For per 60 minutes (GF/60): 2.87
  • Shots For per 60 minutes (SF/60): 32.27
  • Goals Against per 60 minutes (GA/60): 2.36
  • Shots Against per 60 minutes (SA/60): 27.66

Additional Team Statistics

  • Toronto Maple Leafs: Corsi For percentage (CF%) – 50.57 | Fenwick For percentage (FF%) – 50.74 | Goal Differential – 0.59 | Shots Difference – 2.41
  • Florida Panthers: Corsi For percentage (CF%) – 54.77 | Fenwick For percentage (FF%) – 53.25 | Goal Differential – 0.51 | Shots Difference – 4.61
Maple Leafs vs Panthers Prediction

Goalie Matchup

  • Toronto Maple Leafs: Ilya Samsonov (SV%: 0.888, Expected Goals Against: 3.37)
  • Florida Panthers: Sergei Bobrovsky (SV%: 0.916, Expected Goals Against: 2.43)

NHL Betting Model Prediction

  • Toronto Maple Leafs: Estimated Win Probability – 41.10%
  • Florida Panthers: Estimated Win Probability – 58.90%
  • Projected Total: [To be updated based on the latest model]

Betting Strategy

Based on the Kelly Criterion (calculated at 0.55), there is no recommended NHL bet for this game, suggesting a tight match with relatively balanced odds.

Conclusion: Maple Leafs vs Panthers Prediction

Our analysis for the “Maple Leafs vs Panthers prediction” indicates that while the Panthers have a statistical edge, particularly in defensive metrics, the Maple Leafs’ high-scoring offense could challenge the Panthers’ defensive structure. However, with Sergei Bobrovsky’s strong goaltending performance this season, the Panthers might hold a slight advantage at home.

Summary Snippet

Considering our “Maple Leafs vs Panthers prediction”, the Florida Panthers are favored to win, reflecting their solid defensive gameplay and effective goaltending, despite the Maple Leafs’ offensive prowess. Always ensure to verify the latest odds and updates before placing any bets.

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