Discover the expert LUANA PINHEIRO vs ANGELA HILL UFC prediction. Our UFC betting model shows a close match: Pinheiro with a 48.38% chance (ELO) and 45.23% (Logistic regression), while Hill leads with 51.62% and 54.77%. Bet smart with our precise UFC fight analysis and predictions!

Welcome to another thrilling UFC matchup analysis! In this post, we delve deep into the LUANA PINHEIRO vs ANGELA HILL UFC prediction. This UFC fight prediction is meticulously crafted by Eric, an esteemed member of the Underdog Chance Sports Betting Masterclass. Utilizing his innovative UFC betting model, Eric shares his expert UFC predictions and betting model picks for this highly anticipated fight.

Game Information & Sportsbook Odds

The fight is scheduled for Saturday, May 18, 2024. Below are the current odds for the fight:

  • Decimal odds: 2.31
  • US odds: +131
  • Home Team: ANGELA HILL
  • Decimal odds: 1.74
  • US odds: -135

Note: Odds can change, so it’s always beneficial to shop around different sportsbooks to secure the best UFC odds.

Fighter Comparison

Striking Stats

When comparing the striking capabilities of both fighters, we see notable differences:

  • Significant Strikes Landed per Minute:
  • Luana Pinheiro: 3.89
  • Angela Hill: 5.44
  • Striking Accuracy:
  • Luana Pinheiro: 41%
  • Angela Hill: 50%
  • Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute:
  • Luana Pinheiro: 4.38
  • Angela Hill: 4.94
  • Striking Defense:
  • Luana Pinheiro: 62%
  • Angela Hill: 61%

Grappling Stats

The grappling statistics reveal a mix of strengths and weaknesses for both fighters:

  • Takedown Average per 15 minutes:
  • Luana Pinheiro: 2.36
  • Angela Hill: 0.61
  • Takedown Accuracy:
  • Luana Pinheiro: 40%
  • Angela Hill: 34%
  • Takedown Defense:
  • Luana Pinheiro: 66%
  • Angela Hill: 75%
  • Submission Average per 15 minutes:
  • Luana Pinheiro: 0.3
  • Angela Hill: 0.1

ELO Ratings

ELO ratings provide a snapshot of overall skill and performance:

  • Luana Pinheiro: 1503.21
  • Angela Hill: 1514.50

UFC Betting Model Prediction

Eric’s UFC betting model uses two sophisticated approaches: the ELO model and Logistic regression model. Here are their predictions:

  • ELO UFC Betting Model Probability:
  • Luana Pinheiro: 48.38%
  • Angela Hill: 51.62%
  • Logistic Regression UFC Betting Model Probability:
  • Luana Pinheiro: 45.23%
  • Angela Hill: 54.77%

Betting Model Analysis

The strength of Eric’s UFC betting model lies in its convergence. When both the ELO and Logistic regression models align, and the odds fall between 1.50 and 3.0 (US odds -200 and +200), the prediction gains significant reliability.

Recommended UFC Fight Pick

Based on Eric’s thorough analysis and the predictive models, the recommended pick for this fight is:

Angela Hill to win.

Conclusion: LUANA PINHEIRO vs ANGELA HILL UFC Prediction

In conclusion, this LUANA PINHEIRO vs ANGELA HILL UFC prediction provides valuable insights for making an informed betting decision. However, it’s crucial to use this analysis as a guide and not blindly follow any sports picks. For the most accurate UFC picks, it’s essential to leverage statistical data and stay updated with the latest MMA news. Always compare UFC betting odds across different platforms and capitalize on available bonuses and promotions.

If you’re keen to learn how to bet like a pro, with an analytical approach using sports betting models, and want to build your own model for long-term success, consider enrolling in our sports betting courses. Happy betting!

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