Louisiana vs UTEP Prediction Week 5 – 2023 NCAAF Picks

The much-anticipated Louisiana vs UTEP Prediction is here! Week 5 in the NCAAF season brings these two teams head to head, and we have broken down the analytics to offer you a detailed prediction for this matchup.

Team Overview

Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns

• Record: 3-1
• Conference: Sun Belt
• NCAAF Power Rank: 85
• Sportsbook Spread Line: 1

UTEP Miners

• Record: 1-4
• Conference: CUSA
• NCAAF Power Rank: 125
• Sportsbook Spread Line: -1

Over Under – Totals: 52.5

College Football Betting Model Explained

The Louisiana vs UTEP prediction employs the following methodology:

1. Evaluates the average points each team scores in their games.
2. Considers the offensive and defensive ratings of both teams.
3. Takes into account the ratings of previous opponents.
4. Adjusts for Home Field Advantage.
5. These elements are combined to estimate an expected score for each team. The model then identifies games where the projected spread diverges from the sportsbook spread by 7 points or more, making it a qualified pick.

Statistical Breakdown: Louisiana vs UTEP

Metrics	Louisiana	UTEP
Offensive Passing Yards	8.4	7.89
Defensive Passing Yards	5.34	7.5
Offensive Rushing Yards	6.79	5.68
Defensive Rushing Yards	3.35	4.35
Total Offense	7.56	6.65
Total Defense	4.13	5.62

Betting Predictions

Based on the data:

• Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns: 33
• UTEP Miners: 23

Predicted Spread:

• Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns: -6.22
• UTEP Miners: 6.22

Predicted Total Points: 53.63

NCAAF Picks: Louisiana +1

The Ragin’ Cajuns appear to have a decisive edge over the Miners. The significant difference in the projected and actual spread makes the Louisiana spread of 1 a recommended pick, with the over/under bet showing no clear value.

Betting Recommendations

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