Attention all sports gamblers and bettors in the USA! As the NFL season kicks off, we’ve got the numbers crunched for the exciting match-up between the Detroit Lions and the Kansas City Chiefs. Let’s see where the smart money might be headed.
1. Game Details
Date and Time: Thursday, September 7, 2023, 08:20 PM (ET) Last Encounter: Sep 29, 2019 – Kansas City 34, Detroit 30
2. Sportsbook Lines
- Detroit Lions: +4.5
- Kansas City Chiefs: -4.5
- Over/Under: 52
Pro Tip: Always make sure to shop around for the best lines across different sportsbooks. And don’t forget to snag those bonuses, promotions, and contests.
3. Offense Breakdown
Detroit Lions:
- Points For/Game: 26.65
- Adjusted Expected Points: +5.95
- Total Points: 32.6
Kansas City Chiefs:
- Points For/Game: 29.18
- Adjusted Expected Points: +12.95
- Total Points: 42.13
4. Defense Metrics
Detroit Lions:
- Points Against/Game: 25.12
- Defensive Adjusted Expected Points: -6.32
- Total Points: 18.8
Kansas City Chiefs:
- Points Against/Game: 21.71
- Defensive Adjusted Expected Points: -0.79
- Total Points: 20.92
5. Combined Offense and Defense Metrics
Expected Points Scored – Adjusted for Home Field Advantage:
- Detroit Lions: 23.11
- Kansas City Chiefs: 34.11
Final NFL Score Prediction
Detroit Lions: 23.1 Kansas City Chiefs: 34.1

AI’s NFL Pick
There’s small value with the Kansas City Chiefs at -4.5 to cover the spread. However, to be more confident, a difference of at least 1 TD would be ideal. Also, a slight lean towards Over 53.
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