JAILTON ALMEIDA vs ALEXANDR ROMANOV UFC Prediction

In the JAILTON ALMEIDA vs ALEXANDR ROMANOV UFC fight, our betting model predicts ALMEIDA has a 59.86% probability of winning based on ELO ratings and 66.49% using logistic regression. With superior striking defense and takedown accuracy, ALMEIDA is the favored pick for this matchup.


Introduction

The highly anticipated UFC clash between JAILTON ALMEIDA and ALEXANDR ROMANOV is drawing near, and fans and bettors alike are eager to see how this fight will unfold. In this JAILTON ALMEIDA vs ALEXANDR ROMANOV UFC prediction, we delve into the stats, betting odds, and expert analysis to provide you with an informed betting perspective. This prediction was made exclusively by Eric, a member of the Underdog Chance Sports Betting Masterclass, who created a sophisticated UFC betting model and shares his picks and insights for today’s fight.

Game Info & Sportsbook Odds

  • Date: Saturday, June 1, 2024
  • Location: UFC Fight Night
  • Odds:
  • JAILTON ALMEIDA: 1.43 (Decimal), -233 (US)
  • ALEXANDR ROMANOV: 3.00 (Decimal), 200 (US)

Always remember that odds can fluctuate, so it’s wise to shop around for the best UFC odds available at different sportsbooks.

Fighter Comparison

Significant Strikes

  • JAILTON ALMEIDA:
  • Landed per Minute: 2.54
  • Accuracy: 64%
  • Absorbed per Minute: 0.74
  • Defense: 40%
  • ALEXANDR ROMANOV:
  • Landed per Minute: 4.06
  • Accuracy: 52%
  • Absorbed per Minute: 2.2
  • Defense: 50%

Takedowns

  • JAILTON ALMEIDA:
  • Average per 15 minutes: 6.88
  • Accuracy: 59%
  • Defense: 75%
  • ALEXANDR ROMANOV:
  • Average per 15 minutes: 0.5
  • Accuracy: 54%
  • Defense: 20%

Submissions

  • JAILTON ALMEIDA:
  • Average per 15 minutes: 2.2
  • ALEXANDR ROMANOV:
  • Average per 15 minutes: 0.9

ELO Rating

  • JAILTON ALMEIDA: 1601.83
  • ALEXANDR ROMANOV: 1532.38
JAILTON ALMEIDA vs ALEXANDR ROMANOV UFC Prediction

UFC Betting Model Prediction

ELO UFC Betting Model Probability

  • JAILTON ALMEIDA: 59.86%
  • ALEXANDR ROMANOV: 40.14%

Logistic Regression UFC Betting Model Probability

  • JAILTON ALMEIDA: 66.49%
  • ALEXANDR ROMANOV: 33.51%

Importance of the UFC Betting Model

The power of the UFC betting model created by Eric, an Underdog Chance member, is evident when both the ELO model and the Logistic regression model concur, especially when the odds fall between 1.50 and 3.0 (US odds -200 and +200). This consensus significantly enhances the accuracy and reliability of the predictions.

Recommended UFC Fight Pick

Based on Eric’s UFC Fight Predictions Betting Model Analysis, the recommended pick for this fight is JAILTON ALMEIDA to win. His superior striking defense, impressive takedown average, and higher submission rate make him a formidable opponent for Romanov.

Conclusion: JAILTON ALMEIDA vs ALEXANDR ROMANOV UFC Prediction

Utilize this JAILTON ALMEIDA vs ALEXANDR ROMANOV UFC prediction as a valuable resource, but always make sure to conduct your own research and analysis. For final and accurate UFC picks, it’s essential to use statistics in betting and stay updated with the latest MMA news. Always shop for the best UFC Betting Odds and take advantage of bonuses and promotions offered by sportsbooks. If you aspire to bet like a pro, learn to build your own betting model and aim for long-term success, consider enrolling in sports betting courses that teach you how to approach betting analytically.

Remember, informed betting is key to becoming a successful bettor. Best of luck with your wagers, and enjoy the fight!

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