Guardians vs Rockies Prediction

The Guardians vs Rockies Prediction leans heavily towards the Cleveland Guardians. Our MLB betting model gives them a 61.99% probability of winning, with projected odds of -163. Xzavion Curry’s superior pitching and the Guardians’ strong bullpen offer good value at -128 odds. Bet on the Guardians for this matchup.


Welcome to our in-depth analysis for the Guardians vs Rockies Prediction. As the Cleveland Guardians take on the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field on Monday, May 27, 2024, we’ll break down the key elements of this matchup. Our expert insights will guide you through the odds, starting pitchers, and betting probabilities, helping you make informed decisions.

Game Info & Sportsbook Odds

The Cleveland Guardians will face the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field. Here’s a quick look at the current odds:

  • Cleveland Guardians: Decimal odds: 1.78, US odds: -128
  • Colorado Rockies: Decimal odds: 2.20, US odds: 120

Note that odds can change, so always check various sportsbooks for the best MLB odds.

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Starting Pitchers Breakdown

Xzavion Curry (Cleveland Guardians)

Xzavion Curry, the right-handed pitcher for the Guardians, boasts a remarkable ERA of 1.93. Let’s dive into his advanced stats:

  • SIERA: 4.66
  • xFIP: 4.5
  • K/9: 4.82
  • BB/9: 0.96
  • WHIP: 1.07
  • GB/FB: 0.79
  • xERA: 6.1

Curry’s strengths lie in his ability to limit walks and maintain a low WHIP, indicating his control and effectiveness on the mound.

Austin Gomber (Colorado Rockies)

Austin Gomber, the left-handed pitcher for the Rockies, has an ERA of 2.76. His advanced metrics include:

  • SIERA: 4.42
  • xFIP: 4.19
  • K/9: 6.29
  • BB/9: 2.61
  • WHIP: 1.11
  • GB/FB: 1.18
  • xERA: 4.14

Gomber shows a higher strikeout rate and groundball-to-flyball ratio compared to Curry, making him a formidable opponent, especially at home.

Bullpen Matchup

The bullpen rankings reveal a stark contrast:

  • Cleveland Guardians: Ranked 1st
  • Colorado Rockies: Ranked 30th

The Guardians have a significant advantage in the bullpen, which could be a decisive factor late in the game.

Offensive (Hitting) Matchup

Analyzing the offensive rankings:

  • Cleveland Guardians:
  • Overall Rank: 17
  • Rank vs Left-Handed Pitchers: 4
  • Rank vs Right-Handed Pitchers: 26
  • Colorado Rockies:
  • Overall Rank: 28
  • Rank vs Left-Handed Pitchers: 24
  • Rank vs Right-Handed Pitchers: 28

The Guardians have a clear edge when facing left-handed pitchers, while the Rockies struggle offensively against both left and right-handed pitchers.

Guardians vs Rockies Prediction

MLB Betting Model Probability

Our MLB betting model provides the following probabilities and projected odds:

  • Cleveland Guardians (Xzavion Curry):
  • Probability: 61.99%
  • Projected US odds: -163
  • Projected Decimal odds: 1.61
  • Colorado Rockies (Austin Gomber):
  • Probability: 38.00%
  • Projected US odds: 163
  • Projected Decimal odds: 2.63

Recommended MLB Pick

Based on our analysis and the MLB betting model, our recommended pick is:

  • Side: Cleveland Guardians
  • Pitcher: Xzavion Curry
  • Odds: -128
  • Adjusted Kelly Criterion Calculated Value: 1.33
  • Confidence: Good value

Conclusion: Guardians vs Rockies Prediction

In conclusion, the “Guardians vs Rockies Prediction” points towards a favorable outcome for the Cleveland Guardians. Utilizing the superior bullpen and advantageous matchup against left-handed pitching, the Guardians, led by Xzavion Curry, are well-positioned to secure a win.

Remember, always shop for the best MLB betting odds and take advantage of bonuses and promotions during the MLB season. If you’re interested in learning how to bet like a pro with analytical sports betting models, be sure to check out our sports betting courses.

For the final best MLB bets and first-half picks, please check our “MLB Picks” page or access our MLB betting model in Google Sheets to make your own baseball betting projections.

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