Giants vs Braves Prediction July 4

For the Giants vs Braves Prediction on July 4, 2024, our MLB betting model gives the San Francisco Giants a 58.25% chance of winning. With Logan Webb on the mound and strong advanced metrics, the Giants are favored. Bet on San Francisco at -115 for good value.

As the San Francisco Giants prepare to face the Atlanta Braves at Truist Park on Thursday, July 4, 2024, bettors and baseball enthusiasts are eagerly anticipating this clash. This Giants vs Braves Prediction is crucial for those looking to make informed betting decisions. Always check the latest odds on different sportsbooks to ensure you get the best value.

Game Info & Sportsbook Odds

Date: Thursday, July 4, 2024
Ballpark: Truist Park
Away Team: San Francisco Giants
Home Team: Atlanta Braves

  • San Francisco Giants: 1.87 (Decimal), -115 (US)
  • Atlanta Braves: 1.87 (Decimal), -115 (US)

Starting Pitchers

San Francisco Giants: Logan Webb

  • Hand: Right Handed Pitcher
  • ERA: 3.12

Atlanta Braves: Charlie Morton

  • Hand: Right Handed Pitcher
  • ERA: 3.89

When evaluating the Giants vs Braves Prediction, it’s essential to compare the starting pitchers’ advanced MLB stats. Logan Webb and Charlie Morton are both formidable on the mound, but how do their underlying metrics stack up?

Advanced MLB Stats Comparison

Logan Webb:

  • SIERA: 3.36
  • xFIP: 3.09
  • K/9: 7.77
  • BB/9: 2.08
  • WHIP: 1.22
  • GB/FB: 2.73
  • xERA: 4.15
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Charlie Morton:

  • SIERA: 4.01
  • xFIP: 3.92
  • K/9: 9.14
  • BB/9: 3.78
  • WHIP: 1.25
  • GB/FB: 1.44
  • xERA: 4.18

Logan Webb showcases superior control and ground ball tendencies, evidenced by his lower BB/9 and higher GB/FB ratios compared to Charlie Morton. Webb’s consistency and ability to limit walks give him an edge in the Giants vs Braves Prediction.

Bullpen Matchup Analysis

  • San Francisco Giants Bullpen Rank: 3
  • Atlanta Braves Bullpen Rank: 5

The Giants’ bullpen ranks slightly higher than the Braves’, indicating a marginal advantage in late-game scenarios. This factor could play a crucial role in the Giants vs Braves Prediction, especially if the game is close in the later innings.

Offensive (Hitting) Matchup

San Francisco Giants

  • Overall Rank: 6
  • Rank vs Left Handed Pitchers: 1
  • Rank vs Right Handed Pitchers: 14

Atlanta Braves

  • Overall Rank: 16
  • Rank vs Left Handed Pitchers: 11
  • Rank vs Right Handed Pitchers: 21

The Giants have a stronger offensive presence overall, particularly excelling against left-handed pitching. While their ranking against right-handed pitchers is middle-of-the-pack, their overall offensive prowess adds another layer of confidence in the Giants vs Braves Prediction.

Giants vs Braves Prediction

MLB Betting Model Probability

  • San Francisco Giants (Logan Webb): 58.25%
  • MLB Model Projected US odds: -140
  • MLB Model Projected Decimal odds: 1.72
  • Atlanta Braves (Charlie Morton): 41.75%
  • MLB Model Projected US odds: 140
  • MLB Model Projected Decimal odds: 2.40

Our MLB betting model projects the Giants as the favorites with a 58.25% probability of winning. This insight, coupled with Logan Webb’s strong performance metrics, solidifies our Giants vs Braves Prediction.

Recommended MLB PICK Based on MLB Betting Model Analysis

Side: San Francisco Giants
Pitcher: Logan Webb
Odds: -115
Adjusted Kelly Criterion Calculated Value: 1.03
Confidence: Good value

Based on our MLB betting model analysis, the recommended pick is the San Francisco Giants with Logan Webb on the mound. The odds of -115 present a good value bet, making this an attractive option for bettors.

Conclusion for Giants vs Braves Prediction

In summary, our Giants vs Braves Prediction favors the San Francisco Giants to win this matchup. Logan Webb’s superior control, the Giants’ robust bullpen, and their overall offensive strength provide compelling reasons to back them. Always use Giants vs Braves Prediction as a guide and avoid blindly following any sports picks. Shopping for the best MLB Baseball Betting Odds and taking advantage of promotions during the betting season can enhance your success. If you’re interested in learning how to bet like a pro and make your own baseball betting projections, consider exploring our sports betting courses.

For final best MLB bets and first-half picks, visit our “MLB Picks” page or get access to our MLB Betting Model on Google Sheets. This tool will help you calculate odds and make informed baseball betting decisions.

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