GABRIEL BONFIM vs ANGE LOOSA UFC Prediction

For the GABRIEL BONFIM vs ANGE LOOSA UFC prediction, Eric’s UFC betting model shows a 79.71% probability for Bonfim’s victory based on logistic regression. With superior striking accuracy and grappling skills, Bonfim is the favored pick. Shop for the best odds and make informed bets!


The upcoming fight between GABRIEL BONFIM vs ANGE LOOSA has garnered significant attention from UFC enthusiasts and bettors alike. This article will provide a comprehensive GABRIEL BONFIM vs ANGE LOOSA UFC prediction, based on statistical analysis and a specialized UFC betting model developed by Eric, an esteemed member of the Underdog Chance Sports Betting Masterclass. Eric’s predictions, including his UFC betting model picks, offer valuable insights into this intriguing matchup.

Fight Overview

Date: Saturday, July 13, 2024

Game Info & Sportsbook Odds:

  • Gabriel Bonfim (Away Team): Decimal odds 1.25, US odds -400
  • Ange Loosa (Home Team): Decimal odds 4.10, US odds 310

Note: Odds are subject to change. Always shop for the best UFC odds across different sportsbooks.

Fighter Statistics Comparison

Significant Strikes and Defense

Gabriel Bonfim exhibits a balanced offensive and defensive striking game:

  • Significant Strikes Landed per Minute: 4.87
  • Striking Accuracy: 40%
  • Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute: 5.25
  • Striking Defense: 59%

Ange Loosa, on the other hand, tends to engage more aggressively but also absorbs more strikes:

  • Significant Strikes Landed per Minute: 6.09
  • Striking Accuracy: 46%
  • Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute: 6.67
  • Striking Defense: 52%
MB MLB 728x90 Jpg

Grappling and Submission

In terms of grappling, Bonfim shows a strong offensive approach:

  • Takedown Average per 15 minutes: 4.75
  • Takedown Accuracy: 71%
  • Takedown Defense: 100%
  • Submission Average per 15 minutes: 3.8

Loosa, meanwhile, has a more modest grappling record:

  • Takedown Average per 15 minutes: 0.52
  • Takedown Accuracy: 42%
  • Takedown Defense: 90%
  • Submission Average per 15 minutes: 0.2

ELO Rating

  • Gabriel Bonfim: 1522.45
  • Ange Loosa: 1518.81
GABRIEL BONFIM vs ANGE LOOSA UFC Prediction

UFC Betting Model Prediction

Eric’s UFC betting model, which combines ELO ratings and logistic regression probabilities, provides the following insights:

  • Gabriel Bonfim:
  • ELO UFC Betting Model Probability: 50.52%
  • Logistic Regression UFC Betting Model Probability: 79.71%
  • Ange Loosa:
  • ELO UFC Betting Model Probability: 49.48%
  • Logistic Regression UFC Betting Model Probability: 20.29%

The convergence of both models suggests a significant edge for Bonfim, especially when the logistic regression model shows a high probability in his favor.

Understanding the UFC Betting Model

Eric’s UFC betting model leverages two statistical approaches to enhance betting accuracy:

  1. ELO Rating: A measure of a fighter’s overall skill level based on past performance.
  2. Logistic Regression: A statistical method that predicts the probability of an outcome based on various factors.

The strength of this model lies in the agreement between the ELO and logistic regression probabilities, particularly when the odds fall between 1.50 and 3.0 (US odds -200 and +200). This dual confirmation often leads to higher confidence in betting decisions.

Recommended UFC Fight Pick

Based on Eric’s analysis and the UFC betting model, the recommended pick for this fight is Gabriel Bonfim to win. His superior striking accuracy, defensive skills, and grappling prowess, combined with the favorable model probabilities, make him the likely victor in this matchup.

Conclusion: GABRIEL BONFIM vs ANGE LOOSA UFC Prediction

In conclusion, the GABRIEL BONFIM vs ANGE LOOSA UFC prediction suggests a strong advantage for Bonfim. However, it is essential for bettors to use these predictions as a guide and not follow them blindly. For accurate UFC picks, it’s crucial to understand and apply statistical analysis in betting, stay updated with the latest MMA news, and always shop for the best UFC betting odds. Utilizing bonuses and promotions can also provide added value to your bets.

For those looking to elevate their betting strategies and develop their own models, exploring sports betting courses can be incredibly beneficial. By learning to bet analytically, you can increase your chances of becoming a long-term winner in the world of sports betting.

Stay tuned for more expert insights and predictions on upcoming UFC fights, and best of luck with your bets!


By incorporating these detailed analyses and insights, you can make informed betting decisions and potentially gain an edge in the highly competitive world of UFC betting.

Access my free content and join exclusive, private email circle for strategic advice, personal stories, and expert tips.

No spam. Betting value only.