NFL Predictions

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Welcome to the NFL predictions.

NFL PICKS TODAY – WEEK 3

Thursday, September 26, 2022

Dallas +1
Dallas Cowboys at NY Giants (NFL)

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NFL betting spreadsheet

Below you’ll see the NFL betting model that helps me to find the best NFL bets each week. The betting spreadsheet is a team-based NFL betting model, created in google sheets. It gives me the raw lines and projected totals for NFL games. The games with the biggest point spread discrepancy are potentially good bets.

Profit

Current Season (overall will be added at the end of the season).

Yield/ROI

Betting efficiency (Profit/total stakes).

CLV/xCLV (Closing line value)

Closing line value tracks taken odds versus closing odds. Learn more

ADJ Profit (1U/Play)

Adjusted profit if the average bet is 1 unit per play.

Projections

NFL betting model projected goals, totals, win% and the odds.

AdjKelly

Adjusted Kelly Criterion number is calculated from our projected win% and bookmakers odds.

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What are best NFL picks against the spread

Best NFL picks against the spread are selected NFL value bets from our simple NFL betting model, which calculates spreds and totals. The best NFL bets of the week are always the highest value bets based on our NFL betting model. If there is enough big difference between our projected numbers (5-7 for spreads and 10 for totals), this is a qualifying NFL bet.

NFL Betting Model Results:

+6.75 units

NOTE: Qualified bets based on NFL Betting Model are updated at the end of every season

BETTING EXPERIENCE
RECOMMENDED UNIT / BET SIZE
  • Simple betting model
  • Easy to use
  • Advanced NFL teams statistics
  • Recommended strategy based on the numbers: flat 1 unit

In 2018 I have created an NFL betting model, mostly because I wanted to help our members. NFL is very interesting because it is a sharp and big market sport. It is also very challenging because there is a very small amount of games in one season and even if you are +EV it can happen that you win/lose because of pure luck. So, I started to improve the model and focus on CLV, which is positive. The model is available in the course, but I am very excited about future updates because I learn more and more about this betting market.

NFL betting model results for the past few years

NFL 2018/2019
35-17, +16.64
NFL 2019/2020
24-29, -9.28

NFL Picks Against the Spread: How to Bet on American Football

What comes to mind when you think of NFL picks against the spread? If it’s nothing but a whole lot of confusion, don’t worry. There’s plenty of time to learn the tools of the trade. 

If your head spins a little when you hear words like “the Moneyline” and “the spread,” then you’ve come to the right place.

NFL picks and NFL predictions don’t have to be intimidating. There’s a whole industry devoted to finding the best NFL picks, and there’s even a way to see free NFL computer picks. 

Regardless of the exposure you have or haven’t had, there are plenty of tools available to help you understand American football betting. 

Betting on American Football: An Age-Old Tradition

American football betting has been around almost as long as American football. In the earliest days of college football, betting would take place between the passionate individuals who followed it earnestly. 

Today, the betting world has changed, and you can find American football betting tips almost anywhere. Understanding the basics of betting has never been more simple, and NFL expert picks make betting on American football that much easier. 

NFL Predictions

There are three primary ways of betting on American football:

  • Moneyline betting
  • Totals
  • The spread

Moneyline betting is the simple bet of which team you think will win the game. The odds can change in a Moneyline bet, but you can bet as much or as little as you want. As with most bets, the more you risk, the more you can win. 

Totals betting requires NFL predictions, where you try to guess the points at the end of the game. But you aren’t betting on just one team; with total betting, you bet on the cumulative amount of points that each team will score during the game.

Understanding the Spread

And finally, the point spread, or the spread, depends on the number of points each team is favored (or not favored) by, a number published by the sportsbook. Then you bet on what you think will happen. The favored team wins by more than predicted, less than predicted, or the underdog wins. 

NFL Computer Picks

NFL computer picks come from an unbiased, stats-driven prediction algorithm based on all available relevant information. Simulations make predictions about the best bets. 

When paired with other helpful resources, the free computer picks for the NFL can help point you in the right direction.

NFL Computer Picks Against the Spread

When you’re betting against the spread, you bet on the point spread instead of the Moneyline option. Choosing to go with NFL computer picks against the spread can help you make an informed choice. Working with a website that specializes in online betting can help even more.

If you’re worried about trusting a computer pick, you shouldn’t; computer NFL picks are some of the best predictions out there. The computer-generated outcome models the most accurate prediction for the end of an NFL game.   

Are There Free NFL Computer Picks?

Free NFL computer picks don’t guarantee that you’ll win big, but they do give you a significant advantage when it’s time to place a bet. 

Several different websites offer free NFL computer picks. While most of them require a subscription, they provide exciting resources for those interested in advanced NFL bet predictions.

American Football Betting Tips

Looking for free NFL picks is an excellent place to start. In today’s day, NFL computer picks are the way to go. 

Having some good free resources at your fingertips is always a good idea. When it comes to NFL predictions, you want to get all the info you can before deciding. 

Some great online betting sites help you navigate the world of NFL betting. 

How to Bet on American Football: Final Thoughts

If you want to make a foray into betting on the NFL, there are various ways to go about it. The best thing you can do is access one of the many free NFL computer pick programs. They do the heavy lifting for you to focus on the game and make significant gains.

With an online betting program, betting on American football has never been easier. Utilizing these resources will help you understand the process and even have fun with it. 

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