CSGO predictions

Check out my Counter Strike:Global Offensive betting picks from a betting model

Welcome to the CSGO Betting Predictions. On this page, you’ll find the best and biggest value bets from different counter-strike tournaments. All CSGO game predictions are calculated and selected from our esports betting model. Screenshots are shared here before the game starts.

CSGO PICKS

Thursday, September 15, 2022

HEET 1.74
HEET vs Complexity (Counter-Strike ESL Pro League Season 16)

STOP FOLLOWING PICKS

Learn to make your own Picks!

CSGO betting model & spreadsheet

Below you’ll see the CSGO Betting Model predictions in Google Spreadsheets. Note that odds can change at any time – we publish qualified bets and results at the time we made analysis and projections. Always make an extra analysis before you bet on our recommended CSGO betting tips. To maximize long-term profits, we highly recommend signing up for as many reliable sportsbooks as possible and betting on the best CSGO odds.

Profit

Current Season (overall will be added at the end of the season).

Yield/ROI

Betting efficiency (Profit/total stakes).

CLV/xCLV (Closing line value)

Closing line value tracks taken odds versus closing odds. Learn more
* We didn’t have all the available closing odds from some smaller competitions.

BTL

Beating the closing line percentage. * didn’t have stats for all odds.

Value

Recommended team to bet based on value and the odds. Qualified bet.

AdjKelly

Adjusted Kelly Criterion number is calculated from our projected win% and bookmakers odds.

Learn to bet – Start with the FREE Course

Where can I bet on CSGO?

We’ve hand selected the best betting sites, so you don’t have to.

TOP THIS MONTH
nitrogen sports betting logo
Nitrogensports offers anonymous accounts, betting with bitcoins and competitive odds. They are moving to new address – Nitrobetting
BEST OVERALL
Top-Rated Online Sportsbook with low rollover requirement for their $250 Welcome Bonus.
BEST BONUS
Extremely good bitcoin betting site with weekly giveaways and free bets for new and existing players.

What are CSGO Betting Predictions?

CSGO betting predictions are calculated winning percentages from a pre-defined esports betting model or a betting system, where two teams are put in a matchup. CSGO betting model identifies winning percentages, which are turned into the odds. Once projected odds are compared with bookmakers’ CSGO odds, we look for discrepancies.

CSGO Betting Model Results:

+47.25 units

NOTE: Qualified bets based on CSGO Betting Model are updated regularly and usually after the end of a tournament. Last Update: 14.2.2022

BETTING EXPERIENCE
RECOMMENDED UNIT / BET SIZE
  • Huge potential market for the future
  • Lineup based model
  • New market with a lot opportunities
  • Recommended strategy based on the numbers: Bet more with bigger spread diff

Esports betting is a pretty new market compared to traditional markets, but it’s popularity is growing. CSGO is one of the most popular betting markets in the esports industry. The goal of the CSGO model is to calculate predictions and find value bets.

CSGO betting model results

How to Make Betting Predictions and Bet on CSGO teams

The Esports world has exploded from its beginnings as a niche attraction at the beginning of video games to its rapid rise into a $1.08 billion worldwide industry

With this considerable amount of capital floating around, many individuals blessed with luck and the know-how to analyze probabilities have seen an excellent opportunity to apply themselves to win some of that revenue for themselves.

The Esports betting industry represents over $8 billion of worldwide spending. It is on pace to reach even higher, with the video game Counter-Strike: Global Offensive (CSGO) being one of its major players.

CSGO has established its betting scene as one of the earliest and still most prominent Esports matches to bet on for cash. As the Esports industry has continued to succeed, so has CSGO. People make CSGO betting predictions over the outcomes of games daily with its over 1 million concurrent players.
If you want to learn how to make predictions and need CSGO betting tips to bet like a pro, we have a free betting guide that has you covered.

CSGO or Counter-Strike betting is very similar to any other sports betting market. The teams are playing against each other on different tournaments and bookmakers offer the odds, where CSGO bettors can place their wagers.

The most popular is betting is the win or lose scenario, also called Moneyline. But you can also bet on totals, handicaps, and other smaller bet types, especially on esports-focused betting sits, that have an extensive offer for sports gamblers.

What is CSGO and CSGO odds?

CSGO (Counter-Strike: Global Offensive) is a multiplayer first-person shooter video game where two teams play against each other: the Terrorists and the Counter-Terrorists. The goal of the game is to eliminate the other team whilst completing separate objectives.

Example of a CSGO game (live game) where we have two teams (G2 Sports vs Fnatic). At the top of the screen is the score and in the bottom corners, we see the players and how they perform in this round. The games are very similar to tennis because they are played in sets, where the best team out of 2, 3 or 5 games wins at the end.

How many players are in one CSGO team?

Every team has 5 players and they play against each other in different maps (Inferno, Train, Mirage, Nuke, Overpass, Dust II, Vertigo). Every map has its own characteristics and impact on teams and players.

Which are the best CSGO teams?

As in any other competitive sport, the best teams and the best players can change and will change over time. But currently, the best teams in CSGO are Astralis, Heroic, Fnatic, Natus Vincere (NaVi), Vitality, Evil Geniuses. You can check the rankings for the teams and players here.

How I started betting on Counter Strike?

Esports is a betting market with huge potential, which I knew even before I started with esports betting, but because of limited and other leagues, it was just an idea. But then Covid happened and there were no other sports and leagues. It was a perfect time to dig into esports betting.

CSGO betting was pefect fit for me

I was looking for a new betting market, where I could possibly use the numbers and statistics to predict games. I explored the most popular betting markets in esports (LOL, Dota, CSGO) and I found that CSGO is the easiest (for me) to understand. Two teams, without fantasy characters, play against each other and the final goal is to beat the other team in terms of kills. So I started with CSGO betting predictions.

CSGO Team Betting Basics

If you ever frequent a CS:GO betting space looking for CSGO betting advice, like the CSGO betting Reddit, you may be overwhelmed on where to start. CSGO betting sites and CSGO gambling sites like these are numerous and very spread out.

Making betting predictions begins with the basics, so you will see how these basics are briefly touched on, with a more advanced course offered here.

Basics of Making a Bet

To make an intelligent decision in the betting arena, you must understand how the odds work and the types of bets you can make.

Betting Odds

The probability of any event in betting happening is called the Betting Odds. Betting Odds are the ground-level data that is crucial to making an analysis. They come in a few main types that you will see in CSGO betting that are used in betting models.

Fractional Odds 

This betting odds format is colloquially known as the traditional or British odds style.

People write fractional odds with a slash or hyphen, e.g., 3/1 or 3-1 would be called “three-to-one.” This betting odds type is very often used and is preferred worldwide due to the number of bookmakers who use them. Most CSGO websites use this format.

In a 3-1 fractional bet, you would win $3 for every $1 you put up, as well as the $1 you put as a stake. So if you bet $1 and win the bet, you would gain the $3 profit and the $1 stake for a total payout of $4.

Putting everything together, In an 8-1 bet where you stake $50 and win, you would receive (50×8) $400 profit plus $50 (50×1) stake for a total payout of $450.

Decimal Odds

Decimal Odds are the other primary type of odds style you will see. This style is also known as European Odds and is popular in continental Europe and Canada.

Many CSGO sites use fractional odds because that’s what they are used to, but some websites are starting to prefer this different approach to odds. You might often need a calculator to convert the different odd types together.

The way decimals odds work is that your total payout is a single number followed by a decimal. 

Take, for example, 3.0. This number tells you that for everyone $1 you put in, you will make a total of $3. So if you put in $100, you will, at the end of the betting, receive a $300 payout if you win.

This method is excellent because it is easy to compare the likelihood of two events. Say one team has an odds of 3.0, and another team has an odds of 1.2. It is easy to see which team is the favorite or most likely to win.

Money Line Odds

Money Line Odds are also known as American Odds, for the popularity of the format in America. 

These odds are indicated by a minus (-) sign or a plus (+) sign and tell you the amount you need to stake in your bet to win $100 if you are the favorite, or if you are the underdog, how much you will win for every $100 that you bet.

For example, you might see one CSGO team has an odds of +350, and another group has an odds of -490.

In this example, someone betting on Team 1 would have to put up $100 for the chance to win $350 if your bet is successful. If you win, you get the amount that you staked plus the winning bet for a total of $450 (350+100).

The favorite to win is always listed with the minus sign, so someone betting on Team 2 is more likely to win, but they get a lower payout. This mechanic means the person betting would need to bet $490 to win $100.

If someone is betting on Team 2 winning, they will win their stake ($490) plus their payout ($100) for a total payout of $590.

Betting Types

There are many types of betting in the betting world, almost as many types of betting as there are things to CSGO bet on. However, CSGO game betting will stick to a few pretty standard categories that are pretty simple.

Round Winner

Round Winner is the most conventional type of bet to make in CSGO. The person betting only needs to select the winner of the round they want to bet on. A CSGO match has 30 rounds, meaning 30 chances to win.

Outright Winner

Outright Winner is the type of bet that will typically refer to the winner of a tournament, but it could also mean the winner of the match. CSGO match betting could also be a standard Outright Winner bet.

This type of bet is a little more complicated, and you should make sure the bookmaker and your idea of what you want to bet on are the same.

Total Kills

There are a series of special bets that involve guessing the total amount of something but the most common is the Total Kills bet. CSGO team betting or solo player betting is possible under a Total Kills bet.

Handicap

In CSGO, handicap betting is where you will predict the final score of a matchup. Typically matchups are best of 3s, 5s, or 7s. It is more challenging to do this type of bet and win, but the odds are higher.

Handicap betting is sometimes known as spread betting. Often players will take odds of handicap betting if none of the other types of betting have very good odds worthy of a bet.

Making CSGO Betting Predictions

With the basic knowledge out of the way, you are ready to dive into making CSGO betting predictions. There are some key concepts to keep in mind when making your CSGO bet predictions.

Research  

The most important aspect of Esports betting is doing your homework, and CSGO is no exception.

CSGO betters should be up to date on tournaments dates and participants, matchup histories, stats, team compositions, and CSGO news. Luckily UnderdogChance is here to keep you up to date with all the latest CSGO gambling tips and CSGO gambling advice.

It is essential to stay up to date because teams could lose or gain players, and new coaches and sponsorships can drastically affect their results.

Knowing your stuff and researching is the key to making good CSGO betting predictions.

Team Ranking

When making a prediction, you should consider team ranking when making bet on a team. 

It is essential to look at the odds rates of a team to see what the bookmaker thinks is the favorite and then do your research to see how their recent matches look to see if they have a chance of beating a higher-ranked team.

Often you can get ahead of the bookmakers by looking at the recent results of a team before they have a chance to update their odds numbers.

Practice Live Betting

One of the great parts of the Esports betting format is the ability to place live bets. Often betters can hear the commentary and analysis of commentators and pros as they watch the matches, leaving you in a perfect opportunity to take advantage of their insight and predictions.

Map Pools

CSGO is a game of factors, like other games. Factors are predictable things that may impact a player or team’s performance. One factor that can affect performance is the map choice. Specific teams or players will struggle on certain maps, so knowing what map is about to come up in the rotation will help live betters make quick decisions based on their game knowledge.

Make Smart Bets

Often getting too involved in a team or player story can sway your analytical decision-making skills. Gamblers also risk making bad bets when they bet after getting too engaged in your predictions and feelings of sunk cost.

Always make sure to take each bet as it comes and don’t fall into common gambler’s traps like tilting, where you repeatably make consecutive bad bets because you just want to come out with a win. 

There is also something known as a gambler’s fallacy, where the more often you make a bet, the more likely it feels you are owed for the next bet to go in your favor. No matter how many times you flip a coin, even if you get 49 tails in a row, the 50th time you flip that coin, it is still a 50-50 chance.

Compare Odds

When making bets, a better can be so focused on the game and the players they can forget to look around and make their betting environment better.

Take advantage of the offers different sites provide. Make sure you look at the features and value a better can give and consider how that influences the odds that they offer.

Sometimes customer support and gambling security pay for themselves when considering the peace of mind you get when placing a bet and knowing the payment method is secure.

Wrap Up

CSGO game betting is kind to those who do their homework and invest their time learning how it works. 

Esports betting is on track to be the future of sports betting and has a massive opportunity to get even more significant. Anyone with a career or passion for betting can quickly improve their skills, whether for professional endeavors or just casual ones with their friends.

So, find a good website, do your homework, and avoid tilting and you will be prepared to enter one of the fastest-growing betting markets in the world today.

Creating Sports Betting Model
Generating Your Own Odds
Free Betting Spreadsheet