Basketball Picks

Check out our basketball tips based on sports betting model

Welcome to the Basketball Predictions. On this page, you’ll learn about my basketball picks and get free daily basketball tips selected from a basketball prediction model.


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Basketball betting model & sample spreadsheet

Below you’ll see the simple Basketball Betting Model predictions sample in Google Spreadsheets. To maximize long-term profits, we highly recommend signing up for as many reliable sportsbooks as possible and betting on the best basketball lines.


Current Season (overall will be added at the end of the season).


Betting efficiency (Profit/total stakes).

CLV/xCLV (Closing line value)

Closing line value tracks taken odds versus closing odds. Learn more

ADJ Profit (1U/Play)

Adjusted profit if the average bet is 1 unit per play.


NCAA betting model projected goals, totals, win% and the odds.


Adjusted Kelly Criterion number is calculated from our projected win% and bookmakers odds.

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What are Free Basketball Predictions?

Free Basketball predictions are selected basketball betting tips from our betting model, where we predict the final scores of games. Selected bet predictions are the highest value bets where the criteria are the difference between projected point spreads from a betting model and points spread from bookmakers.

Basketball Betting Model Results:

+34.98 units

NOTE: Qualified bets based on 2277 basketball bet predictions, where I was looking for 7 pts difference for spreads and 10 points for totals.

  • Best simple model
  • Easy to understand and great for rookie bettors
  • The idea was successfuly used for other sports too
  • Recommended strategy based on the numbers: Flat 1 unit

In February 2017 I created a simple betting model for basketball betting. The main idea was to help basketball bettors, so they can project their own spreads and totals before they make final bets. The beauty of this model is simplicity and the chance to project lines for any league you want.

Basketball bet predictions results

About Basketball Predictions

The world of basketball has a lot of fans around the world. Whether you play basketball yourself, enjoy watching NBA games, or make Euroleague picks, basketball is fun to bet on. You can learn how to bet in no time.

Educate Yourself

One good way to increase your betting experience is to become familiar with individual players’ strengths and weaknesses, so you can decide who the best players are for a specific team.

Also, become familiar with teams’ playing strategies. Learn about their formation and how they play together as a team. You should also look at the health/injury report of a player or a team to find out if they have been in good form lately.

Carefully check the injuries of players or teams before betting on them.

Betting involves research and luck. Make good observations and start making predictions, then make wagers on some online betting sites.

As you begin to step into the world of making basketball predictions, you may want to take a course. Such courses can teach you how to look at basketball matches and statistics.

Statistics are vital in basketball betting, so the more you know about basketball statistics, the better you will be at predictions.

The basketball statistics that you should pay attention to are scores, results, and performance.

How To Read Statistics and Make Predictions

Some of the best basketball betting tips involve the use of statistics.

Basketball statistics come in many different forms. Some basketball statistic reports will compare basketball teams with each other (for example, basketball league rankings).

Some basketball statistic reports compare recently played basketball matches, while others compare basketball teams’ historical play records. Other stats may focus on how many shots a player makes.

A typical basketball statistic report includes:

  • basketball teams’ ranking
  • the average number of points scored by each team
  • their win percentage in past matches

Keep track of individual player stats by using basketball spreadsheet templates.


You should bet on basketball with two or three different online bookmakers. If one bookmaker has a particularly low or high limit for a match, you can bet on another one. 

You should also check whether bookmakers offer any specials for matches of certain teams or players so you can maximize your winnings.

Take into account that some bookmakers may hide the odds on small leagues, which makes it harder to find good bets. If this is the case, look at other data like the past performance of teams, and the form of players for your predictions.

Different Types of Bets

You can make a basketball bet on the outcome of an entire game – this is called a straight-up bet. You will say which team you think will win. If you are correct, you get the amount you wagered multiplied by your stake (bet).

Handicap Bet

You can also bet on a handicap. It refers to when the better team gets an advantage before the match begins.

For example, if you place a bet on Team A to win with a handicap of 3 points (Team A -3), Team A will need to win by 4 points for you to get your bet back plus the winnings. If Team A wins by a smaller margin, you get nothing back and only lose the stake you wagered.

You can also bet on over/under points in a match or just one-quarter of a match. You have to predict whether there will be more or less than the set amount of points scored (over) or if the score will be equal (under).

If you want to make more than one bet, you can also combine odds on these different bets. For example, if Team A has a handicap of 3 points and over/under 116 points and Team B has a handicap of 7 points and an over/under total of 131 points, your combined bet would be:

Handicap (3) + Over/under (116) = 13/17

Handicap (7) + Under/under (131) = 1/1

You can also bet on extra game time happening (overtime). It requires some knowledge of each team’s abilities and characteristics. 

Spread Betting

Spread betting is like betting on the handicap, but you can bet on several things.

E.g., Team A to win with a handicap of 3 points (Team A -3) and over/under total of 110 points.

When using a spread, you have to predict how many points will be scored by each team individually, not the total score of both teams added together.

The Odds

Keep in mind that basketball betting odds will change during basketball games. Every time there is a score in the game, you will see changes in the odds.

Therefore, you should keep an eye on the match and observe the potential changes in the odds.

In conclusion, there is plenty to learn about basketball betting and predictions. Continue to learn more about basketball betting and don’t forget to get a bonus when you sign up to place bets.

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